New Orleans Pelicans vs Indiana Pacers Prediction & Tips, 22 Oct 2026
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Series
| Game | Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20/12/2025 | Pelicans | Final | Pacers |
| 2 | 21/12/2025 | Pelicans | 128 - 109 | Pacers |
| 3 | 16/01/2026 | Pacers | Final | Pelicans |
| 4 | 17/01/2026 | Pacers | 127 - 119 | Pelicans |
| 5 | 09/02/2027 | Pacers | Not Started | Pelicans |
Injury Report
Player Statistics
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | MIN |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Murphy III | 21.5 | 5.7 | 3.8 | 35.5 |
| Zion Williamson | 21.0 | 5.7 | 3.2 | 29.7 |
| Saddiq Bey | 17.7 | 5.6 | 2.5 | 31.2 |
| Dejounte Murray | 16.7 | 5.4 | 6.4 | 27.8 |
| Jeremiah Fears | 14.3 | 3.7 | 3.4 | 25.8 |
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | MIN |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Siakam | 24.0 | 6.6 | 3.8 | 33.2 |
| Bennedict Mathurin | 17.8 | 5.4 | 2.3 | 31.8 |
| Andrew Nembhard | 16.9 | 2.8 | 7.7 | 31.3 |
| Aaron Nesmith | 13.8 | 4.2 | 1.9 | 29.7 |
| Jarace Walker | 11.6 | 5.1 | 2.5 | 25.7 |
Recent Form
Head to Head
Previous Meetings
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Contents
Our Prediction
Our model projects a high-scoring affair. The Pacers are slight favorites at -2.5 points, with the total score expected to exceed 230 points.
Top Markets
- MoneylineIndiana Pacers
- SpreadIndiana Pacers -2.5
- Projected Total Points230
Match Facts
- Competition
- NBA
- Date
- Thu 22 Oct
- Tip-off
- 01:00
- Arena
- Smoothie King Center
Win Probability
Match Preview
A thrilling clash of styles awaits as the physical Pelicans face the ultra-fast Pacers. Indiana will look to push the pace to extreme levels, while New Orleans aims to slow the game down, utilizing their size advantage to dominate the paint and control the glass.
Expect an incredibly fast-paced game. Indiana's transition offense will clash with New Orleans' half-court execution, creating a high-scoring spectacle for fans.
- Pacers project 105.2 possessions per game.
- Pelicans hold a +6.2 rebounding advantage.
- Indiana averages 28.5 transition points.
- Pelicans project 52.1% paint shooting.
Team Analysis
The Pacers lead the league in pace, projecting a 118.2 offensive rating in transition-heavy scenarios. The Pelicans counter with a balanced attack, boasting a 54.5% eFG% and superior interior scoring depth, which will test Indiana's interior defense.
Tactical Breakdown
This matchup highlights Transition & Pace Edge. Indiana's relentless transition attack will test the Pelicans' transition defense and recovery speed.
Injuries & Doubts
Confirmed line-ups are usually out 60 to 90 minutes before tip-off.
Form and Head to Head
Head-to-head matchups favor high-scoring outcomes. Indiana's pace of play has historically forced New Orleans into faster, less efficient possessions.
Key Stats
- Offensive Rating: 116.5
- Defensive Rating: 117.2
- Pace: 105.2
- eFG%: 55.2%
- Turnover Rate: 13.1%
Odds
Moneyline
| New Orleans Pelicans | 2.27 |
|---|---|
| Indiana Pacers | 1.62 |
Average odds across all bookmakers. 18+ | Gamble responsibly
Scoring, Rebounds, Turnovers and Fouls
| Stat | New Orleans Pelicans | Indiana Pacers |
|---|---|---|
| Expected Points | 114 | 116 |
| 3s Made | 12 | 15 |
Foul Trouble Watch
The fast pace will lead to transition fouls. New Orleans projects 23 free-throw attempts by exploiting Indiana's paint defense.
Rebounding Battle
New Orleans must dominate the glass to limit Indiana's possessions. They project a 53.5% rebounding rate, led by their physical frontcourt.
Turnover Watch
Indiana's high-risk passing will lead to turnovers. The Pelicans project to score 18.5 points off turnovers in this matchup.
Verdict
Indiana's relentless pace and superior 3-point volume will give them the edge. Expect the Pacers to win a high-scoring shootout.
FAQ
What is the expected scoreline for Pelicans vs Pacers?+
The expected scoreline is 114-116 in favor of the Indiana Pacers.
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