Oklahoma City Thunder vs New Orleans Pelicans Prediction & Tips, 7 Oct 2026
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Series
| Game | Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02/11/2025 | Thunder | 137 - 106 | Pelicans |
| 2 | 02/11/2025 | Thunder | Final | Pelicans |
| 3 | 17/11/2025 | Pelicans | Final | Thunder |
| 4 | 18/11/2025 | Pelicans | 109 - 126 | Thunder |
| 5 | 27/01/2026 | Thunder | Final | Pelicans |
| 6 | 28/01/2026 | Thunder | 104 - 95 | Pelicans |
| 7 | 07/10/2026 | Thunder | 110 - 116 | Pelicans |
| 8 | 21/11/2026 | Thunder | Not Started | Pelicans |
| 9 | 24/12/2026 | Pelicans | Not Started | Thunder |
| 10 | 21/01/2027 | Pelicans | Not Started | Thunder |
| 11 | 03/04/2027 | Thunder | Not Started | Pelicans |
Injury Report
Player Statistics
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | MIN |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | 31.1 | 4.3 | 6.6 | 33.2 |
| Chet Holmgren | 17.1 | 8.9 | 1.7 | 28.9 |
| Jalen Williams | 17.1 | 4.6 | 5.5 | 28.4 |
| Ajay Mitchell | 13.6 | 3.3 | 3.6 | 25.8 |
| Isaiah Joe | 11.1 | 2.5 | 1.3 | 21.2 |
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | MIN |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Murphy III | 21.5 | 5.7 | 3.8 | 35.5 |
| Zion Williamson | 21.0 | 5.7 | 3.2 | 29.7 |
| Saddiq Bey | 17.7 | 5.6 | 2.5 | 31.2 |
| Dejounte Murray | 16.7 | 5.4 | 6.4 | 27.8 |
| Jeremiah Fears | 14.3 | 3.7 | 3.4 | 25.8 |
Head to Head
Previous Meetings
Contents
Our Prediction
Top Markets
- MoneylineOklahoma City Thunder
- SpreadOklahoma City Thunder -5.5
- Projected Total Points226
Match Facts
- Competition
- NBA
- Date
- Wed 7 Oct
- Tip-off
- 01:00
- Arena
- BOK Center, Tulsa, OK
Match Preview
The Oklahoma City Thunder host the New Orleans Pelicans in a Western Conference showdown. This matchup features OKC's elite spacing against New Orleans's physical frontcourt.
Expect a high-intensity game at Paycom Center. The battle for paint control and perimeter efficiency will decide the outcome.
- OKC averages 15.4 made three-pointers.
- Pelicans score 48.6 points in the paint.
- Thunder force a high 15.6% turnover rate.
- New Orleans averages 12.2 offensive rebounds.
Team Analysis
OKC boasts a 118.2 offensive rating driven by elite spacing. New Orleans counters with a 53.8% rebounding percentage to dominate the glass.
Tactical Breakdown
Defensive Matchup Vulnerability could expose the Pelicans' perimeter defense if they fail to rotate quickly against OKC's drive-and-kick.
Injuries & Doubts
Head to Head
Previous Meetings
- 28.01.2026USA: NBAOklahoma City Thunder104 - 95New Orleans Hornets
- 18.11.2025USA: NBANew Orleans Hornets109 - 126Oklahoma City Thunder
- 02.11.2025USA: NBAOklahoma City Thunder137 - 106New Orleans Hornets
- 17.07.2025USA: NBA Las Vegas Summer LeagueOklahoma City Thunder95 - 81New Orleans Hornets
- 13.04.2025USA: NBANew Orleans Hornets100 - 115Oklahoma City Thunder
OKC has won three of the last five matchups, utilizing their speed to neutralize the Pelicans' size advantage.
Key Stats
- 118.2Offensive Rating113.5
- 110.4Defensive Rating114.1
- 100.5Pace98.2
- 56.2%eFG%53.5%
- 11.8%Turnover Rate14.1%
Scoring, Rebounds, Turnovers and Fouls
- 116Expected Points110
- 153s Made11
Foul Trouble Watch
New Orleans's physical drives will test OKC's interior discipline, likely leading to high free-throw volume for both teams.
Rebounding Battle
The Pelicans must dominate the offensive glass to limit OKC's transition opportunities and secure second-chance points.
Turnover Watch
OKC's active hands will look to disrupt New Orleans's post entry passes, aiming to spark fast-break points.
Verdict
OKC's superior spacing, perimeter shooting, and defensive turnover creation should secure a comfortable home victory.
FAQ
Who is favored to win the Thunder vs Pelicans game?+
The Oklahoma City Thunder are favored to win with an expected score of 116-110.
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