San Antonio Spurs vs Oklahoma City Thunder: Prediction, 21 Oct 2026
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Series
| Game | Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13/12/2025 | Thunder | Final | Spurs |
| 2 | 23/12/2025 | Spurs | Final | Thunder |
| 3 | 24/12/2025 | Spurs | 130 - 110 | Thunder |
| 4 | 25/12/2025 | Thunder | 102 - 117 | Spurs |
| 5 | 25/12/2025 | Thunder | Final | Spurs |
| 6 | 13/01/2026 | Thunder | Final | Spurs |
| 7 | 14/01/2026 | Thunder | 119 - 98 | Spurs |
| 8 | 04/02/2026 | Spurs | Final | Thunder |
| 9 | 05/02/2026 | Spurs | 116 - 106 | Thunder |
| 10 | 18/05/2026 | Thunder | Final/2OT | Spurs |
| 11 | 19/05/2026 | Thunder | After Over Time | Spurs |
| 12 | 20/05/2026 | Thunder | Final | Spurs |
| 13 | 21/05/2026 | Thunder | 122 - 113 | Spurs |
| 14 | 22/05/2026 | Spurs | Final | Thunder |
| 15 | 23/05/2026 | Spurs | 108 - 123 | Thunder |
| 16 | 24/05/2026 | Spurs | Final | Thunder |
| 17 | 25/05/2026 | Spurs | 103 - 82 | Thunder |
| 18 | 26/05/2026 | Thunder | Final | Spurs |
| 19 | 27/05/2026 | Thunder | 127 - 114 | Spurs |
| 20 | 28/05/2026 | Spurs | Final | Thunder |
Injury Report
Player Statistics
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | MIN |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Wembanyama | 25.0 | 11.5 | 3.1 | 29.2 |
| De'Aaron Fox | 18.6 | 3.8 | 6.2 | 31.0 |
| Stephon Castle | 16.7 | 5.3 | 7.4 | 30.0 |
| Devin Vassell | 13.9 | 4.0 | 2.5 | 30.5 |
| Keldon Johnson | 13.2 | 5.4 | 1.4 | 23.3 |
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | MIN |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | 31.1 | 4.3 | 6.6 | 33.2 |
| Chet Holmgren | 17.1 | 8.9 | 1.7 | 28.9 |
| Jalen Williams | 17.1 | 4.6 | 5.5 | 28.4 |
| Ajay Mitchell | 13.6 | 3.3 | 3.6 | 25.8 |
| Isaiah Joe | 11.1 | 2.5 | 1.3 | 21.2 |
Recent Form
Head to Head
Previous Meetings
Contents
Our Prediction
The model predicts a comfortable Thunder victory, covering the -11.5 spread with a 116-105 scoreline.
Top Markets
- MoneylineOklahoma City Thunder
- SpreadOklahoma City Thunder -11.5
- Projected Total Points221
Match Facts
- Competition
- NBA
- Date
- Wed 21 Oct
- Tip-off
- 02:30
- Arena
- Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX
Match Preview
The San Antonio Spurs host the Oklahoma City Thunder in a Western Conference matchup highlighting young talent. Oklahoma City's elite transition offense meets San Antonio's developing half-court defense.
Expect a high-tempo game where Oklahoma City's defensive pressure forces turnovers, leading to rapid transition scoring opportunities.
- Thunder lead in points off turnovers.
- Spurs rely on interior rim protection.
- Oklahoma City features elite spacing.
- San Antonio struggles with transition defense.
Team Analysis
Oklahoma City boasts a stellar 118.4 offensive rating and elite perimeter defense. San Antonio struggles with a 115.8 defensive rating.
Tactical Breakdown
Oklahoma City's Transition & Pace Edge will overwhelm San Antonio's backcourt, generating high-efficiency fast-break opportunities.
Injuries & Doubts
Confirmed line-ups are usually out 60 to 90 minutes before tip-off.
Form and Head to Head
Oklahoma City has dominated recent matchups, winning four of five by exploiting San Antonio's high turnover rate.
Key Stats
- Spurs: Off Rating 109.5, Def Rating 115.8, Pace 101.2, eFG% 52.4%, TO Rate 15.2%
- Thunder: Off Rating 118.4, Def Rating 110.1, Pace 100.8, eFG% 56.5%, TO Rate 12.4%
Scoring, Rebounds, Turnovers and Fouls
| Stat | San Antonio Spurs | Oklahoma City Thunder |
|---|---|---|
| Expected Points | 105 | 116 |
| 3s Made | 11 | 14 |
Foul Trouble Watch
San Antonio's young defenders face high foul risk against Oklahoma City's quick, penetrating guards.
Rebounding Battle
San Antonio holds a slight rebounding advantage, but Oklahoma City's defensive box-outs will limit second-chance points.
Turnover Watch
Oklahoma City's league-leading turnover creation will disrupt San Antonio's offensive flow, leading to easy transition points.
Verdict
Oklahoma City's superior pace, defensive pressure, and offensive efficiency will secure a comfortable double-digit road victory.
FAQ
Who is favored in the Spurs vs Thunder game?+
The Oklahoma City Thunder are heavily favored due to their superior transition offense and defensive pressure.
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