Oklahoma City Thunder 126-128 Milwaukee Bucks: Result, 8 Oct 2026
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Series
| Game | Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14/10/2025 | Bucks | Final | Thunder |
| 2 | 15/10/2025 | Bucks | 112 - 116 | Thunder |
| 3 | 21/01/2026 | Bucks | Final | Thunder |
| 4 | 22/01/2026 | Bucks | 102 - 122 | Thunder |
| 5 | 12/02/2026 | Thunder | Final | Bucks |
| 6 | 13/02/2026 | Thunder | 93 - 110 | Bucks |
| 7 | 29/11/2026 | Bucks | Not Started | Thunder |
| 8 | 30/12/2026 | Thunder | Not Started | Bucks |
Injury Report
Player Statistics
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | MIN |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | 31.1 | 4.3 | 6.6 | 33.2 |
| Chet Holmgren | 17.1 | 8.9 | 1.7 | 28.9 |
| Jalen Williams | 17.1 | 4.6 | 5.5 | 28.4 |
| Ajay Mitchell | 13.6 | 3.3 | 3.6 | 25.8 |
| Isaiah Joe | 11.1 | 2.5 | 1.3 | 21.2 |
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | MIN |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giannis Antetokounmpo | 27.6 | 9.8 | 5.4 | 28.9 |
| Kevin Porter Jr. | 17.4 | 5.2 | 7.4 | 33.2 |
| Ryan Rollins | 17.3 | 4.6 | 5.6 | 32.1 |
| Cormac Ryan | 14.3 | 2.5 | 1.7 | 24.6 |
| Bobby Portis | 13.7 | 6.4 | 1.6 | 24.2 |
Head to Head
Previous Meetings
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Final Result
Contents
Our Prediction
Our model predicts an OKC victory, covering the -3.5 spread in a high-scoring shootout.
Top Markets
- MoneylineOklahoma City Thunder
- SpreadOklahoma City Thunder -3.5
- Projected Total Points232
Match Facts
- Competition
- NBA
- Date
- Thu 8 Oct
- Tip-off
- 01:00
- Arena
- Paycom Center
Win Probability
Match Preview
The Oklahoma City Thunder host the Milwaukee Bucks in a high-profile matchup featuring elite MVP candidates. Spacing and transition efficiency will dictate the outcome of this contest.
A high-octane, fast-paced game is expected. Both teams will look to push the pace and exploit semi-transition opportunities early.
- OKC averages 15.2 made threes.
- Bucks dominate defensive rebounding percentage.
- Pace projected at a high 101.2.
- Turnover margin heavily favors OKC.
Team Analysis
OKC leads with a 119.5 offensive rating and elite spacing. Milwaukee counters with paint dominance, leveraging a 55.1% eFG% to stay competitive.
Tactical Breakdown
OKC possesses a distinct Transition & Pace Edge, while Milwaukee relies on high-efficiency half-court offense.
Injuries & Doubts
Form and Head to Head
- W
- W
- W
- L
- W
OKC has won three of the last four meetings, utilizing their youth and speed to outrun Milwaukee's transition defense.
Key Stats
- Offensive Rating: 119.5
- Defensive Rating: 115.2
- Pace: 101.2
- eFG%: 55.8%
- Turnover Rate: 11.4%
Odds
Moneyline
| Oklahoma City Thunder | 1.16 |
|---|---|
| Milwaukee Bucks | 4.94 |
Average odds across all bookmakers. 18+ | Gamble responsibly
Scoring, Rebounds, Turnovers and Fouls
| Stat | Oklahoma City Thunder | Milwaukee Bucks |
|---|---|---|
| Expected Points | 118 | 114 |
| 3s Made | 15 | 13 |
Foul Trouble Watch
Giannis Antetokounmpo's interior drives will generate high free-throw volume, testing OKC's disciplined paint defense.
Rebounding Battle
Milwaukee's size gives them a rebounding advantage, limiting OKC's second-chance opportunities through defensive box-outs.
Turnover Watch
OKC's league-leading turnover creation rate will be pivotal in generating easy transition points against Milwaukee.
Verdict
OKC's superior depth, speed, and perimeter shooting will ultimately overwhelm Milwaukee's half-court defense late.
FAQ
What is the key matchup factor?+
OKC's transition speed and turnover creation against Milwaukee's half-court defense.
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