G. Price 3-6 J. Wade: Result, 27 Jun 2026

Our analytical model predicts Gerwyn Price as the likely winner, with a 65% probability of victory. The expected total legs played is 9, suggesting a competitive but not necessarily a deciding-leg affair. The probability of a deciding leg (6-5) is estimated at 30%. Price's superior scoring power is expected to create enough pressure to secure the win, though Wade's finishing prowess will keep the scoreline tight.

Top scorelines6-5

Top Markets

Predicted WinnerG. Price · 65%
Expected Legs9.0
Decider Leg30%

Match Facts

Competition: European Tour 5
Date: Sat 27 Jun
Start: 01:15
Format: Best of 11 legs

Win Probability

G. PriceJ. Wade

65%35%

Match Preview

This highly anticipated clash features two of darts' most formidable competitors: Gerwyn Price, known for his explosive power scoring, and James Wade, celebrated for his clinical finishing and unwavering consistency. Set to be contested over a best of 11 legs format, this encounter promises a compelling blend of high-octane darts and strategic precision. The stakes are significant, with both players aiming to assert dominance early in the tournament. Price will look to overwhelm with his scoring, while Wade will rely on his renowned ability to clean up under pressure, making every leg a potential battle of contrasting styles.

This match projects as a fascinating contrast in styles. Price is expected to dictate the scoring tempo with his aggressive approach, frequently hitting the treble 20. Wade, conversely, will likely absorb pressure, focusing on setting up his preferred doubles and capitalizing on any scoring lulls from Price. While Price's scoring power might lead to more comfortable holds, Wade's exceptional checkout efficiency means he is always a threat to break throw. Expect a high-scoring affair from Price, met with a grindy, clinical response from Wade, making doubles crucial.

Price's recent three-dart average of 100.5 significantly outpaces Wade's 94.0.
Wade's checkout percentage of 43.0% offers a crucial counter to Price's scoring.
Price averages 4.2 180s per match, indicating superior scoring power.
Wade's lower doubles missed per leg (1.7) highlights his clinical finishing.
The match is likely to feature multiple breaks of throw given the contrasting styles.

Scoring Profile

Gerwyn Price consistently demonstrates elite scoring, boasting a recent three-dart average of 100.5. His ability to hit 180s is prominent, averaging 4.2 maximums per match, complemented by a high volume of 140+ scores. James Wade, while not matching Price's raw scoring power, maintains a respectable 94.0 three-dart average. Wade's scoring is more methodical, focusing on consistent treble hitting rather than explosive bursts, averaging 2.5 180s per match. Price's scoring dominance will be a key factor in establishing early leads.

Finishing Profile

James Wade is renowned for his clinical finishing, evidenced by a strong checkout percentage of 43.0%. He excels under pressure, often cleaning up high finishes and rarely missing crucial doubles. His doubles hit percentage stands at 43.0%, with an average of 1.7 doubles missed per leg. Gerwyn Price also possesses solid finishing capabilities, with a 40.5% checkout percentage. While slightly less clinical than Wade, Price's heavier scoring often leaves him on more favorable checkouts. His doubles hit percentage is 40.5%, with 2.0 doubles missed per leg.

Tactical Themes

Price will aim to be a fast starter, leveraging his scoring to establish early leads and put pressure on Wade's throw. His front-running ability is exceptional. Wade, conversely, often thrives as a chaser, relying on his composure to break back when opportunities arise. The potential for break-of-throw is high, especially if Price's scoring dips or Wade finds his rhythm on the outer ring. Leg-on-throw will be critical, but Wade's ability to punish missed doubles could lead to crucial breaks.

Pressure Moments

Gerwyn Price generally handles pressure well, often finding big scores in crucial moments, though his doubles can sometimes falter under extreme duress. James Wade is renowned for his ice-cool temperament, particularly on doubles in deciding legs. He rarely cracks, making him a formidable opponent when the match tightens. In a potential deciding leg, Wade's experience and clinical finishing could prove decisive, despite Price's overall scoring advantage.

Form and Head to Head

Gerwyn Price: W W L W W
James Wade: W L W L W

In their head-to-head encounters, Gerwyn Price holds a slight advantage, often prevailing in high-scoring contests. However, James Wade has demonstrated a knack for upsetting Price, particularly in matches that go down to the wire. Deciding legs have historically favored Price due to his ability to find an extra gear, but Wade's composure ensures these moments are always tightly contested. Their previous meetings suggest a pattern of Price dominating the scoring, with Wade's resilience keeping him in contention.

Key Stats

Gerwyn Price: Recent Three-Dart Average: 100.5, 180s per Match: 4.2, 140+ per Match: 10.5, Checkout Percentage: 40.5%, Doubles Missed per Leg: 2.0
James Wade: Recent Three-Dart Average: 94.0, 180s per Match: 2.5, 140+ per Match: 7.0, Checkout Percentage: 43.0%, Doubles Missed per Leg: 1.7

Scoring, Checkouts and Doubles

Stat	G. Price	J. Wade
Avg. Three-Dart	100.5	94.0
Expected 180s	4.2	2.5
Expected 140+	10.5	7.0
High Checkout	1	1
Checkout %	40.5%	43%
Doubles Hit %	40.5%	43%
Doubles Missed/Leg	2.0	1.7

Verdict

This match pits Price's explosive scoring against Wade's surgical finishing. While Price holds the edge in overall scoring power and average, Wade's clinical efficiency on the doubles board makes him a constant threat. The outcome will likely hinge on Price's ability to maintain his scoring consistency and Wade's capacity to convert his chances under pressure.