European Tour 9· Final· BO11 · First to 6
KD
K.
Doets
6
vs
OB
O.
Bates
3
Our Predicted Winner
K. Doets
Match Projection
Expected Legs10.0
Decider Leg30%
Three-Dart Average
DoetsBates
94Avg. Three-Dart92
Scoring Power
DoetsBates
2Expected 180s4
8Expected 140+6
1High Checkout2
Checkout & Doubles
DoetsBates
41%Checkout %36%
40%Doubles Hit %35%
1.5Doubles Missed/Leg2.1
Match Overview
We expect this to be a fast-paced game. Both players have the potential to produce high scores, and the match is projected to be a heavy-scoring battle with plenty of opportunity for high-finish combinations
.
Scoring Profile
K. Doets displays a consistent three-dart average, often maintaining his form throughout long matches without major slumps
. His 140+ volume is a testament to his scoring reliability. O. Bates is the more explosive of the two, with a high 180 frequency that allows him to put immediate pressure on his opponent
. While Bates has the ability to produce incredible scoring bursts, he is also more susceptible to inconsistent visits compared to Doets. Doets will likely focus on staying in the hunt with steady, high-value visits, while Bates will attempt to force errors by accelerating the scoring pace.
Finishing Profile
Finishing efficiency will be the defining metric in this 11-leg format. K. Doets demonstrates excellent doubles consistency, particularly in the middle range where he is rarely flustered
. He is well-equipped to handle high-pressure situations on the outer ring. O. Bates, while highly capable of high-finish range checkouts, sometimes finds himself leaving awkward doubles after his high-octane scoring
. His ability to stay cool under pressure will be tested significantly, as Doets is unlikely to give away many free opportunities on the doubles segment. This clash of finishing styles—Doets's pragmatism versus Bates's ambition—promises to be a key theme.
Recent Form
Doets
W
W
L
W
W
Bates
L
L
W
L
W
Head to Head
In their limited previous meetings, matches have been highly competitive, with a frequent occurrence of deciding-leg resilience
.
Key Factors
Doets maintains a steady three-dart average of 93.4
Bates averages 0.44 180s per leg, highlighting his scoring pressure
Checkout percentage is slightly in favor of Doets at 40%
Doubles missed per leg remains a key indicator for Bates’s performance
The match is likely to see high-finish attempts from both players throughout the 11 legs
Tactical Themes
Bates will likely seek an early break-of-throw to set the tone, while Doets will look to use his consistency to maintain his own legs and force Bates into risky play
.
Pressure Moments
Doets handles pressure on doubles with a composed, deliberate approach, whereas Bates’s tendency to speed up under pressure often leads to higher volatility when the match is at stake.
Our Pick
Our analytical model favors K. Doets, primarily due to his superior finishing consistency. The match is projected to last 10 legs, with a 30% probability of a deciding leg
.
Final Verdict
K. Doets’s tactical maturity and checkout consistency make him the favorite for this encounter. O. Bates will undoubtedly score heavily at times, but he will need to improve his efficiency on the doubles to overcome Doets’s methodical advantage. Expect Doets to win a tight contest through disciplined finishing.
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FormatBO11 · First to 6 legs
LeagueEuropean Tour 9
Date2026-06-19
Time13:50
StatusFT
First throw-