Modus Super Series· Final· BO7 · First to 4
GM
G.
Matthee
1
vs
AK
A.
Kirk
4
Our Predicted Winner
A. Kirk
Match Projection
Expected Legs6.0
Decider Leg38%
Three-Dart Average
MattheeKirk
86.5Avg. Three-Dart87.8
Scoring Power
MattheeKirk
0.8Expected 180s0.6
3.2Expected 140+2.9
92High Checkout104
Checkout & Doubles
MattheeKirk
36%Checkout %40%
36%Doubles Hit %40%
1.8Doubles Missed/Leg1.4
Match Overview
A tactical and grindy battle is projected, where Matthee's 100+ consistency will likely compete against Kirk's superior efficiency in the high-finish range.
Scoring Profile
G. Matthee is recognized for a disciplined scoring game, prioritizing steady 100 and 140 visits over high-risk scoring bursts. This methodical approach ensures a stable three-dart average that keeps him competitive across all legs. A. Kirk relies on finding the treble 20 with his first dart to set up consistent visits, though his 180 frequency tends to be lower than the league average. Kirk's strength lies in his 'set-up' shots, often leaving himself on a comfortable double after 12 or 15 darts. Matthee will look to use the scoring phase to create a buffer, preventing Kirk from utilizing his clinical finishing to steal legs against the throw.
Finishing Profile
A. Kirk holds a notable edge in doubles consistency, frequently converting difficult checkouts under extreme doubles pressure. His composure in the high-finish range makes him a threat to break throw at any moment. G. Matthee is highly efficient on Double 16 and Double 8, but he occasionally requires more than one visit to close out a leg if his initial dart misses the wire. The checkout percentage for both players will be the ultimate deciding factor, as the short format leaves no margin for error. Matthee must ensure his set-up play is precise to avoid giving Kirk multiple opportunities at the outer ring.
Recent Form
Matthee
L
W
L
L
W
Kirk
L
L
W
L
W
Head to Head
Historical data indicates a closely contested rivalry, with Kirk winning their most recent meeting by displaying superior deciding-leg resilience in a 4-3 thriller.
Key Factors
Matthee averages 86.4 per three darts in his last five competitive appearances
Kirk has hit 42% of his attempts at Double 20 during the current season
The expected leg total for this matchup is 6.2, indicating a high probability of a close finish
Matthee misses an average of 1.6 doubles per leg, compared to Kirk's 1.4
Tactical Themes
Key themes include Matthee's 'percentage-based scoring' versus Kirk's 'clinical containment'. Kirk will look to apply doubles pressure early to disrupt Matthee's rhythmic delivery.
Pressure Moments
Last-leg deciders will test the stamina and focus of both competitors. Kirk's history of cleaning up 60-80 checkouts gives him a slight psychological advantage in a 3-3 scenario.
Our Pick
Analytical models suggest a 51% win probability for A. Kirk. A narrow 4-3 or 4-2 scoreline is the most likely outcome based on finishing efficiencies.
Final Verdict
While G. Matthee provides a stable scoring platform, A. Kirk's superior checkout percentage and ability to handle doubles pressure make him the marginal favorite in this best-of-7 encounter.
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FormatBO7 · First to 4 legs
LeagueModus Super Series
Date2026-05-12
Time11:25
StatusFT
First throw-