This matchup is expected to be a tactical affair, potentially leaning towards a grind on the doubles. H. Ward typically focuses on consistent scoring to set up comfortable checkouts, while S. Johnstone is known for his ability to hit big scores when needed. The match projects as a battle of consistency versus bursts of brilliance, with the player who handles pressure on the outer ring more effectively likely to emerge victorious.

H. Ward maintains a steady scoring rhythm, with a three-dart average of 91.8. While not always hitting maximums frequently (averaging 1.5 per match), he consistently hits 140s and 100s, keeping legs tight. S. Johnstone, on the other hand, can produce more explosive scoring, with a three-dart average of 93.0 and an average of 2.2 180s per match. His scoring bursts can put opponents under immediate pressure.

S. Johnstone demonstrates strong finishing capabilities, boasting a checkout percentage of 40%. He is particularly confident on his preferred doubles and has a good range for high finishes. H. Ward's finishing is solid, with a checkout percentage of 35%, but he can sometimes struggle to convert under intense pressure. The ability to clean up in two or three darts will be crucial for both players, especially in the latter stages of legs.

There is no significant head-to-head history available for H. Ward and S. Johnstone, suggesting this could be their first or one of their earliest competitive encounters. This lack of prior data adds an element of unpredictability, as both players will be looking to establish a psychological advantage from the outset.

S. Johnstone often employs a strategy of aggressive scoring to build leads and put pressure on his opponent's throw. H. Ward, conversely, focuses on holding his own throw through consistent scoring and then looking for opportunities to break. The battle for the bullseye in the throw for the start will be important, as holding throw could be a significant advantage in this tight contest.

S. Johnstone has shown good composure on doubles, converting 40% of his attempts, which is crucial in high-pressure situations. H. Ward, with a 35% doubles hit rate, can sometimes feel the heat, leading to missed opportunities. The ability to convert crucial doubles in deciding legs will be a key differentiator, and Johnstone appears to have a slight edge in this department.

Our analytical model slightly favors S. Johnstone due to his higher scoring power and superior checkout efficiency. We anticipate a total of 6-7 legs played, with a 48% probability of a deciding leg. Ward's consistency will keep him in the match, but Johnstone's finishing prowess might be the difference.

S. Johnstone's stronger scoring and more reliable finishing make him the slight favorite. H. Ward's consistency will ensure a competitive match, but Johnstone's ability to hit big scores and convert crucial doubles under pressure might prove decisive in this best of 7 legs encounter.