This match is likely to be a tactical affair, with both players focusing on setting up comfortable checkouts rather than relying solely on power scoring. We anticipate a moderate scoring tempo, punctuated by strategic visits. The match will probably be decided by who can maintain consistency on the doubles and avoid costly errors. It projects as a grindy battle where every missed double will be magnified.

J. Owens typically maintains a steady scoring game, with a recent three-dart average of 90.2. His strength lies in consistent 140+ scores (averaging 8.5 per match) rather than frequent 180s (2.0 per match). T. Lishman, with a slightly higher average of 92.5, shows more bursts of scoring power, hitting 2.8 180s per match and 9.5 140+ scores. Lishman's ability to find the treble 20 more often could give him an edge in setting up checkouts.

T. Lishman's checkout percentage stands at 39%, indicating a solid ability to convert opportunities, especially from the 80-120 range. He is generally reliable on the doubles. J. Owens, with a checkout efficiency of 36%, can sometimes struggle with consistency on the outer ring, particularly when under pressure. His tendency to miss 2.6 doubles per leg could be a vulnerability that Lishman exploits in crucial moments.

The head-to-head record between Owens and Lishman is 1-1, with both matches being closely contested. Their previous encounter saw Lishman emerge victorious in a deciding leg, suggesting he might have a slight mental edge in high-pressure situations against Owens.

T. Lishman tends to be a more aggressive player, aiming for quick legs and break-of-throw opportunities. He thrives on front-running. J. Owens adopts a more measured approach, focusing on consistent scoring to set up his finishes. His strength lies in holding his own throw. The tactical battle will be between Lishman's aggression and Owens' methodical play.

T. Lishman generally handles pressure well on doubles, converting 39% of his attempts and showing composure in crucial moments. J. Owens, while capable, can sometimes falter on the outer ring when the stakes are highest, particularly in deciding legs. This difference in pressure handling could be a key factor in determining the match winner.

Our model predicts T. Lishman as the likely winner with a 56% probability, primarily due to his slightly superior scoring and more consistent finishing. We anticipate a competitive match, likely extending to 6 legs. The probability of a deciding leg stands at 39%, reflecting the closely matched nature of these players.

T. Lishman's slightly better scoring power and more consistent finishing under pressure give him the edge. While J. Owens will put up a fight, Lishman's ability to convert crucial doubles should see him through in this best-of-7 legs contest.