Players Championship 15· Final· BO11 · First to 6
BD
B.
Dolan
2
vs
JL
J.
Long
6
Our Predicted Winner
B. Dolan
Match Projection
Expected Legs9.0
Decider Leg12%
Three-Dart Average
DolanLong
94Avg. Three-Dart90
Scoring Power
DolanLong
2Expected 180s3
9Expected 140+6
130High Checkout100
Checkout & Doubles
DolanLong
46%Checkout %38%
46%Doubles Hit %38%
1Doubles Missed/Leg2
Match Overview
This match is expected to be a methodical battle. Dolan will look to control the tempo, while Long will attempt to win via scoring bursts and high 140+ volume.
Scoring Profile
Brendan Dolan's scoring profile is built on accuracy rather than power. He hits a massive amount of 100+ scores, maintaining a very stable three-dart average in the low 90s. He is not a heavy 180 hitter, but his 140+ consistency is top-tier. Jelle Long has a more volatile scoring phase, capable of hitting multiple 180s but also prone to 60 or 45 visits. Long's scoring power is higher than Dolan's, but his floor is lower. Dolan's ability to punish every poor visit from Long with a steady 100 or 140 is a key tactical theme of this contest.
Finishing Profile
Brendan Dolan is one of the most clinical finishers in the game. His checkout percentage often exceeds 45%, and he is particularly dangerous in the high-finish range. Dolan's doubles consistency on Double 20 and Double 16 is his greatest asset. Jelle Long is a confident finisher but lacks Dolan's veteran composure in deciding legs. Long's doubles pressure must be perfect to beat Dolan, as The History Maker rarely misses two shots at a double in the same visit. Dolan's deciding-leg resilience makes him very difficult to beat in close, high-pressure games.
Recent Form
Dolan
W
L
W
W
L
Long
L
W
L
W
L
Head to Head
Brendan Dolan leads the head-to-head series, with his tactical discipline often proving too much for Long's more erratic scoring style.
Key Factors
Brendan Dolan converts 48% of his attempts at Double 20
Jelle Long hits an average of 0.22 180s per leg
The match is 60% likely to feature at least one 100+ checkout from Dolan
Long's three-dart average drops by 5 points when trailing in legs
Dolan has a 70% win rate in best-of-11 matches this season
Tactical Themes
Dolan is the master of the leg-on-throw. Long's primary objective is to find a break-of-throw potential by hitting a 180 in the first 6 darts of Dolan's leg.
Pressure Moments
Dolan's composure on doubles is elite. Long's challenge is to handle the doubles pressure in the latter stages of the match, where Dolan's consistency puts maximum mental strain on the opponent.
Our Pick
Analytical models favor Brendan Dolan for a 6-3 or 6-4 victory. His superior finishing profile and scoring stability are expected to outlast Long's rhythmic bursts.
Final Verdict
Brendan Dolan's technical superiority and clinical finishing make him the clear favorite. While Jelle Long can provide some scoring pressure, Dolan's methodical consistency and experience should lead to a comfortable win, likely 6-3.
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FormatBO11 · First to 6 legs
LeaguePlayers Championship 15
Date2026-05-12
Time13:25
StatusFT
First throw-