Players Championship 15· Final· BO11 · First to 6
CK
C.
Kist
2
vs
TS
T.
Sykes
6
Our Predicted Winner
C. Kist
Match Projection
Expected Legs9.8
Decider Leg26%
Three-Dart Average
KistSykes
93.5Avg. Three-Dart89.8
Scoring Power
KistSykes
3.8Expected 180s2.1
13.2Expected 140+11.8
132High Checkout116
Checkout & Doubles
KistSykes
37.5%Checkout %39.2%
36.8%Doubles Hit %40.1%
1.7Doubles Missed/Leg1.3
Match Overview
This match projects as a clash between Kist's raw scoring and Sykes' clinical finishing. Kist will aim for a quick victory, while Sykes will look to drag the match into a grindy battle on the doubles.
Scoring Profile
Christian Kist remains one of the fastest scorers in the game, with a 180 frequency that can turn a match in minutes. His volume of 140+ visits is impressive, though his three-dart average can fluctuate if his rhythm is disrupted. T. Sykes focuses on consistency, prioritizing the big-single beds to ensure a shot at a double in every leg. Sykes' scoring phase is less explosive than Kist's but provides a stable floor that forces the former champion to remain accurate.
Finishing Profile
Kist's finishing can be spectacular, often taking out high-finish range checkouts (120+) when flowing. However, Sykes holds a slight edge in checkout percentage stability. Sykes' doubles consistency on Double 16 and Double 8 is a primary weapon, especially in legs where Kist has out-scored him but failed to close the door.
Recent Form
Kist
W
W
L
W
L
Sykes
L
W
W
L
W
Head to Head
Historical data shows Kist generally wins shorter sprints, but Sykes has shown deciding-leg resilience in longer formats against high-average players.
Key Factors
Kist averages 93.8 in his recent winning performances
Sykes has a checkout percentage of 39.5% in 2026
Kist's 180s per match average is 3.4
Sykes has successfully defended 72% of his leg-on-throw opportunities
Tactical Themes
Kist is a notorious fast starter. Sykes must withstand the early barrage and rely on his chasing ability to capitalize on the inevitable mid-match scoring dips from the Dutchman.
Pressure Moments
Kist's deciding-leg resilience is well-documented from his championship days. Sykes must maintain pressure on doubles to test Kist's composure in the final legs.
Our Pick
Christian Kist is the favorite with a 59% win probability. The model predicts a close encounter, likely ending 6-4 or 6-5 in Kist's favor.
Final Verdict
Christian Kist's scoring power should provide him with more opportunities. If he maintains a checkout percentage above 35%, his superior scoring will likely be the difference against a steady Sykes.
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FormatBO11 · First to 6 legs
LeaguePlayers Championship 15
Date2026-05-12
Time13:25
StatusFT
First throw-