Players Championship 15· Final· BO11 · First to 6
CM
C.
Menzies
6
vs
SR
S.
Rosney
2
Our Predicted Winner
C. Menzies
Match Projection
Expected Legs9.0
Decider Leg12%
Three-Dart Average
MenziesRosney
95.8Avg. Three-Dart86.2
Scoring Power
MenziesRosney
3Expected 180s1
12Expected 140+8
124High Checkout102
Checkout & Doubles
MenziesRosney
41%Checkout %32%
41%Doubles Hit %32%
1.2Doubles Missed/Leg2.1
Match Overview
This match projects as a high-tempo scoring display from Menzies. The expectation is a relatively comfortable win for Menzies unless Rosney can find an elite level of doubles consistency to punish occasional errors.
Scoring Profile
Cameron Menzies is a prolific scorer, often generating significant scoring bursts with consecutive 140+ visits. His ability to find the treble 20 is a hallmark of his game, leading to a robust 180 frequency. Stefaan Rosney typically operates with a lower three-dart average, often struggling to match the heavy artillery of top-tier professionals. Menzies' scoring phase is designed to leave finishes after 9 or 12 darts, putting immense pressure on Rosney to keep pace. For Rosney to stay competitive, he must maximize his scoring on his own throw to prevent Menzies from finding easy break opportunities. The discrepancy in 140+ volume is likely to be the defining characteristic of the scoring battle.
Finishing Profile
Menzies has improved his checkout percentage significantly, becoming more reliable on double 20 and double 10. He possesses a dangerous high-finish range, capable of taking out three-dart combinations to demoralize opponents. Rosney’s finishing is his primary path to an upset; he must maintain a high doubles consistency to steal legs where Menzies might falter. The pressure on doubles will be high for both, but Menzies’ experience in pressure-cooker situations gives him a clear edge. If the match reaches the latter stages, Menzies' ability to clean up under pressure is statistically superior. Rosney must avoid a high number of doubles missed per leg to keep the scoreline respectable.
Recent Form
Menzies
W
L
W
W
L
Rosney
L
L
W
L
L
Head to Head
There is no established head-to-head history at the professional level between these two. Menzies' recent record against similar opponents suggests a high level of deciding-leg resilience.
Key Factors
Menzies has maintained a three-dart average of 95.4 over his last ten matches
Rosney's checkout percentage has averaged 32% in recent competitive outings
Menzies averages 0.28 180s per leg in 2026
Rosney has a tendency to struggle with doubles missed per leg when trailing by more than two legs
Tactical Themes
Menzies is an excellent front-runner who uses leg-on-throw dominance to demoralize opponents. Rosney's tactical challenge is to stay within one leg to maintain scoreboard pressure.
Pressure Moments
Menzies' comfort in the scoring phase usually minimizes his exposure to last-leg deciders. Rosney has shown vulnerability when faced with doubles pressure while trailing.
Our Pick
The analytical model predicts a 78% win probability for Cameron Menzies. The expected legs total is 8.5, suggesting a likely 6-2 or 6-3 victory for the Scotsman.
Final Verdict
Cameron Menzies' superior scoring power and professional experience should result in a decisive victory. Rosney lacks the consistent three-dart average required to challenge Menzies over a best-of-11 format.
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FormatBO11 · First to 6 legs
LeaguePlayers Championship 15
Date2026-05-12
Time15:15
StatusFT
First throw-