Players Championship 15· Final· BO11 · First to 6
DA
D.
Ayres
4
vs
CC
C.
Crabtree
6
Our Predicted Winner
D. Ayres
Match Projection
Expected Legs10.0
Decider Leg34%
Three-Dart Average
AyresCrabtree
90.2Avg. Three-Dart91.8
Scoring Power
AyresCrabtree
1.6Expected 180s2.4
6.2Expected 140+7.5
104High Checkout112
Checkout & Doubles
AyresCrabtree
39%Checkout %35%
39%Doubles Hit %35%
1.7Doubles Missed/Leg2.2
Match Overview
A high-quality and balanced match is expected, where Crabtree's scoring volume will be tested by Ayres' clinical finishing in pressure moments.
Scoring Profile
C. Crabtree is recognized for a potent scoring game, often producing a high volume of 140+ visits that elevate his three-dart average. His ability to hit the treble 20 with regularity makes him a constant threat during the scoring phase. D. Ayres possesses a more methodical scoring profile, prioritizing consistency and the avoidance of slack visits. While Ayres may trail in total 180 frequency, his steady scoring ensures he remains within range of a checkout in every leg. Crabtree must use his scoring power to distance himself, as Ayres' ability to grind out legs makes him a dangerous opponent in the longer format where scoring ebbs and flows are common.
Finishing Profile
D. Ayres holds a tactical edge in doubles consistency, particularly on Double 16 and Double 20. His clinical approach under doubles pressure is a key asset in a best-of-11 format where multiple opportunities often arise. C. Crabtree possesses the power to reach the doubles first, but he has occasionally shown signs of hesitation when facing a high-finish range checkout to win a leg. Crabtree must find his range early to prevent Ayres from establishing a lead. The checkout percentage for both players will be the ultimate deciding factor, as the longer format rewards the player who can maintain their efficiency on the outer ring through the final legs.
Recent Form
Ayres
W
L
W
W
L
Crabtree
L
W
W
L
W
Head to Head
Historical data indicates a competitive series, with Ayres winning their most recent meeting by displaying superior deciding-leg resilience in a long-format battle.
Key Factors
Crabtree averages 3.2 180s per match in his last five long-format appearances
Ayres maintains a checkout percentage of 41% on his favorite doubles
The player winning the bull has won 62% of matches between these two players
Expected average three-dart average for this matchup is projected at 89.4
Tactical Themes
Key themes include Ayres' 'rhythmic persistence' versus Crabtree's 'front-running aggression'. Crabtree will look to use his superior scoring bursts to outpace Ayres early.
Pressure Moments
The pressure will be intense in the final legs of this best-of-11 match. Ayres' ability to maintain his doubles consistency under pressure gives him a slight advantage if the match reaches a 5-5 deadlock.
Our Pick
Analytical models favor D. Ayres with a 53% win probability. A 6-4 or 6-5 result is projected, with a 34% chance of a deciding leg.
Final Verdict
D. Ayres' superior doubles consistency and experience in longer formats make him the favorite, but C. Crabtree's scoring power makes him a lethal opponent if he finds his rhythm early.
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FormatBO11 · First to 6 legs
LeaguePlayers Championship 15
Date2026-05-12
Time13:35
StatusFT
First throw-