Players Championship 15· Final· BO11 · First to 6
KR
K.
Ratajski
4
vs
IW
I.
White
6
Our Predicted Winner
K. Ratajski
Match Projection
Expected Legs9.6
Decider Leg24%
Three-Dart Average
RatajskiWhite
96.4Avg. Three-Dart93.5
Scoring Power
RatajskiWhite
2.2Expected 180s3.4
13.2Expected 140+11.5
124High Checkout116
Checkout & Doubles
RatajskiWhite
41.2%Checkout %37.5%
40.8%Doubles Hit %36.5%
1.2Doubles Missed/Leg1.7
Match Overview
The match projects as a high-quality scoring affair. Ratajski's consistency will be tested by White's superior 180 frequency, likely resulting in a back-and-forth battle decided by late-leg tactical efficiency.
Scoring Profile
K. Ratajski excels in the 140+ volume category, frequently keeping his three-dart average above 95 through sheer consistency. While not the most prolific maximum hitter, his ability to pepper the treble 20 bed is world-class. Ian White provides more volatility but higher scoring power, often landing 180s in clusters. White's scoring phase is characterized by rapid visits that put immediate pressure on the opponent's throw. Ratajski must counter this by maintaining a stable scoring floor to ensure he reaches the finish line before White can pull away with multiple maximums.
Finishing Profile
Finishing is where Ratajski holds a statistical edge, boasting a reliable checkout percentage on Double 16 and Double 20. His doubles consistency under pressure is a hallmark of his game. Ian White remains dangerous in the high-finish range, but his doubles missed per leg can occasionally spike during high-stakes moments. White's ability to clean up under 100 will be crucial to staying competitive against the clinical Polish star.
Recent Form
Ratajski
W
L
W
W
L
White
L
W
W
L
W
Head to Head
Historical data shows a closely contested head-to-head record, with Ratajski winning their most recent encounter in a match that reached the final leg.
Key Factors
Ratajski maintains a recent three-dart average of 96.4
White hits a 180 every 3.2 legs on average
The checkout percentage for Ratajski in 2026 is 41.2%
White has successfully won 62% of his legs on throw this season
Tactical Themes
Ratajski is a notorious front-runner who excels at leg-on-throw holds. White must utilize his break-of-throw potential early to disrupt Ratajski's methodical rhythm.
Pressure Moments
Ratajski's deciding-leg resilience has been a key factor in his ranking rise. White handles doubles pressure with veteran poise, but can be susceptible if the scoring phase dips in the middle legs.
Our Pick
The analytical model favors Krzysztof Ratajski with a 58% win probability. An expected 9.5 total legs indicates a tight contest with a potential final score of 6-4.
Final Verdict
Krzysztof Ratajski's superior checkout efficiency and technical consistency should see him through. While Ian White's scoring power makes him dangerous, Ratajski's ability to minimize errors at the doubles will likely be the deciding factor in this best of 11 matchup.
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FormatBO11 · First to 6 legs
LeaguePlayers Championship 15
Date2026-05-12
Time13:05
StatusFT
First throw-