Schindler enters as the favorite, projected to maintain a higher scoring floor. Griffin will need to maximize his checkout efficiency to counteract the German's relentless accuracy on the treble beds and find break-of-throw potential.

Martin Schindler is renowned for his technical consistency, often posting a three-dart average north of 96. His ability to hit multiple maximums per match is a major tactical advantage. R. Griffin possesses steady scoring power, but his output can be more volatile than Schindler's. Griffin's 140+ volume is respectable, keeping him in contention during legs where scoring intensity is high. Schindler's scoring phase intensity often results in a faster path to the double. Griffin must maintain his scoring streaks to avoid falling behind early in the best of 11 format.

The finishing battle will be intense, as both players have shown high checkout efficiency in recent months. Schindler is particularly clinical on Double 18 and Double 20. Griffin favors Double 16 and has shown great doubles consistency under doubles pressure. Schindler's ability to handle pressure in deciding legs has been a key factor in his recent rise, a trait Griffin must emulate to secure an upset. Schindler's high-finish range is extensive, often including multiple 100+ checkouts.

Previous meetings favor Schindler, whose consistent setup play and superior front-running ability often outlasts Griffin's challenges in long-format matches.

Schindler is a natural front-runner who thrives when holding throw. Griffin must focus on chasing ability and hope to break Schindler early to unsettle his rhythmic scoring routine.

Schindler's deciding-leg resilience has improved significantly in 2026. Griffin handles doubles pressure well, but he must find his target quickly to stay with the German.

Martin Schindler is the favorite with a 72% win probability. The model projects a 6-3 or 6-4 victory in favor of the German star.

Martin Schindler's superior three-dart average and high-intensity scoring phase make him the likely winner. R. Griffin is a capable finisher, but Schindler's statistical superiority should prevail over 11 legs.