Players Championship 15· Final· BO11 · First to 6
NP
N.
Potter
5
vs
SW
S.
Waites
6
Our Predicted Winner
S. Waites
Match Projection
Expected Legs9.4
Decider Leg18%
Three-Dart Average
PotterWaites
89.4Avg. Three-Dart93.2
Scoring Power
PotterWaites
2.5Expected 180s3.1
11.2Expected 140+13.8
108High Checkout134
Checkout & Doubles
PotterWaites
36.2%Checkout %42.5%
35.8%Doubles Hit %41.9%
1.9Doubles Missed/Leg1
Match Overview
This is expected to be a grindy battle on the doubles. Waites will look to utilize his clinical finishing to overcome Potter's slightly higher scoring potential.
Scoring Profile
Scott Waites maintains a very steady scoring phase, rarely dropping below a 90 average. His 140+ volume is his primary scoring asset, keeping him in every leg. N. Potter has shown flashes of high 180 frequency, but his scoring can be volatile. Potter's three-dart average often peaks higher than Waites' in short bursts, but the veteran's consistency over 11 legs typically provides a more stable scoring foundation.
Finishing Profile
Waites' checkout efficiency remains world-class, particularly on Double 16. He is known for his ability to clean up under doubles pressure. Potter has a decent checkout percentage but has shown a tendency for doubles missed clusters in televised matches. Potter's high-finish range is respectable, but Waites' technical precision on common checkouts is the benchmark for this match.
Recent Form
Potter
W
L
W
L
L
Waites
W
W
L
W
W
Head to Head
Head-to-head records favor Waites in longer formats, where his experience and deciding-leg resilience have proven decisive in the past.
Key Factors
Waites maintains a 42 percent checkout percentage in 2026
Potter's three-dart average has improved by 4 points in recent months
Waites has won 80 percent of his matches that reached 10 legs
Potter averages 2.5 180s per match
Tactical Themes
Waites will look to employ a front-running strategy, utilizing his composure. Potter must focus on his chasing ability and not let Waites' clinical finishing discourage him.
Pressure Moments
Waites' deciding-leg resilience is legendary, whereas Potter is still proving himself in high-pressure last-leg deciders on the professional stage.
Our Pick
Scott Waites is the favorite with a 62 percent win probability. The model predicts a 6-4 victory for the veteran.
Final Verdict
Scott Waites' experience and clinical checkout efficiency make him the clear favorite. While Potter can match him in the scoring phase, Waites' composure under doubles pressure should be the deciding factor over 11 legs.
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FormatBO11 · First to 6 legs
LeaguePlayers Championship 15
Date2026-05-12
Time13:25
StatusFT
First throw-