Premier League - Night 15· Final· BO11 · First to 6
JC
J.
Clayton
0
vs
LL
L.
Littler
6
Our Predicted Winner
L. Littler
Match Projection
Expected Legs10.0
Decider Leg38%
Three-Dart Average
ClaytonLittler
96.8Avg. Three-Dart99.2
Scoring Power
ClaytonLittler
3Expected 180s5
13Expected 140+13
132High Checkout121
Checkout & Doubles
ClaytonLittler
45%Checkout %39%
45%Doubles Hit %39%
0.9Doubles Missed/Leg1.4
Match Overview
A high-quality encounter where Clayton's technical efficiency meets Littler's raw power. It projects as a heavy-scoring battle where checkout efficiency will be the ultimate differentiator.
Scoring Profile
Luke Littler remains a scoring phenomenon, frequently producing a 180 frequency that leads the professional tour. His ability to hit maximums in clusters allows him to distance himself from opponents rapidly. Jonny Clayton utilizes a different scoring profile, characterized by massive 140+ volume and an unmatched ability to hit 100+ visits in succession. Clayton's three-dart average typically resides in the mid-to-high 90s, driven by his intensity and smooth delivery. While Littler may win the maximum count, Clayton's ability to leave a double after 9 or 12 darts consistently is a hallmark of his game. Both players are capable of producing 12-dart legs, making the scoring phase a true battle of power versus precision.
Finishing Profile
Jonny Clayton is widely considered one of the best finishers in the world, with a checkout percentage that often defies belief in pressure situations. He is clinical on double 16 and double 20 and has a high high-finish range (100+). Luke Littler's finishing is equally dangerous, showing maturity beyond his years on the outer ring. He has a dangerous high-finish range and often cleans up legs under significant doubles pressure. Clayton must avoid any sessions where his doubles missed per leg metric increases, as Littler is ruthless in punishing second chances. Littler's tendency to remain aggressive under intense match pressure gives him a slight edge in scoring cushion. The efficiency on the first dart at a double will be the ultimate differentiator in this elite-level encounter.
Recent Form
Clayton
W
W
L
W
W
Littler
W
W
L
W
W
Head to Head
The head-to-head record is closely contested, with Littler winning several recent high-stakes matches. Both players have demonstrated exceptional deciding-leg resilience, suggesting a close finish if the match reaches leg 11.
Key Factors
Luke Littler leads the PDC in 180s per match in the current season
Jonny Clayton has a checkout percentage of 45% this season
Littler hit 15 180s in his last tournament appearance
Clayton has won 75% of his matches that go to a deciding leg in 2026
Tactical Themes
Clayton is an excellent front-runner who excels at leg-on-throw consistency. Littler's break-of-throw potential is high due to his scoring, making him dangerous even when trailing.
Pressure Moments
Both handle pressure on doubles with experience. Clayton's calm demeanor gives him the edge in a decider, while Littler's aggressive energy can rattle even the most seasoned opponents.
Our Pick
Luke Littler is a marginal favorite with a 53% win probability. The expected legs total is 10.2, indicating a very high likelihood of the match going to a decider leg at 38% probability.
Final Verdict
Jonny Clayton's checkout efficiency provides a slight advantage over Littler's superior scoring. Expect a high-quality affair that could easily go to a deciding leg, with Clayton's experience being the key.
For informational purposes only. 18+ | Gamble responsibly | begambleaware.org
FormatBO11 · First to 6 legs
LeaguePremier League - Night 15
Date2026-05-14
Time20:35
StatusFT
First throw-