Antwerp 0-5 St. Liege: Result, 3 May 2026

Analytical modeling predicts a 55% probability for an Antwerp victory. A scoreline of 2-0 or 2-1 is the most statistically likely outcome, supported by Antwerp's superior offensive efficiency and home-field performance metrics.

Antwerp wins 62% of their total home matches in the Pro League.St. Liege has a 25% goal involvement from defenders, highlighting set-piece threat.The average corner count for Antwerp at home is 6.8 per match.75% of Antwerp's goals occur in the second half of home fixtures.

Discipline metrics suggest a highly competitive match with 3 yellow cards expected for St. Liege. Corner frequency will likely be high for Antwerp as they force play into wide delivery zones.

The Belgian Pro League features a high-profile encounter between Antwerp and St. Liege, a match critical for European qualification standing. Antwerp has implemented a sophisticated tactical structure based on high-volume crossing and dominant aerial presence in the opposition box. St. Liege, under their current tactical evolution, has shifted toward a more reactive 5-3-2 block, focusing on defensive solidity and long-ball verticality. Performance data indicate that Antwerp's home xG is among the highest in the league, driven by an average of 16.5 shots per game. St. Liege will attempt to frustrate the hosts by clogging central passing lanes and forcing play into wide, low-efficiency zones. The tactical importance centers on the battle for second balls in the midfield, where Antwerp's physical double-pivot often dictates the pace. Expected outcomes lean toward a match where Antwerp's sustained pressure will test St. Liege's structural resolve over 90 minutes.

A high-intensity atmosphere at the Bosuilstadion is expected. Antwerp will likely monopolize possession, while St. Liege focuses on a counter-punching strategy to catch the hosts on the break.

Antwerp displays exceptional offensive variety, scoring 1.9 goals per match with a strong reliance on set-piece dominance. St. Liege features a resilient defensive unit that excels in clearances and shot-blocking but struggles with offensive transition consistency, often averaging less than 1.0 xG away.

High-Efficiency Tactical Setup: Antwerp's use of wide overloads to stretch the 5-3-2 block. Defensive Vulnerability Insight: St. Liege's susceptibility to through-balls when their defensive line pushes up to press. High-Impact Substitution Patterns: Antwerp frequently introduces pacy forwards at the 65th minute to punish a tiring St. Liege defense.

Antwerp has enjoyed significant success in recent home meetings against St. Liege, winning three of the last five and keeping two clean sheets. St. Liege's victories in this fixture have typically come from low-scoring defensive masterclasses.