The analytical model projects a narrow outcome, favoring a draw (35% probability). Goal distribution trends favor a 1-0 or 1-1 scoreline trend, reflecting the defensive focus of both squads.
Top scorelines1-01-1
Match Facts
Competition
Serie A
Date
Sun 17 May
Kick-off
22:30
Stadium
Arena Condá, Chapecó, Santa Catarina
Capacity
22,600
Table Position
Chapecoense-SC 20 · Remo 19
Match Preview
This Serie A fixture between Chapecoense-SC and Remo represents a significant tactical crossroads in the Brazilian top flight. Chapecoense-SC enters the contest seeking to leverage their home-field advantage and stable performance modeling to secure vital points. The narrative centers on their ability to maintain a disciplined defensive block while generating enough xG through rapid attacking transitions. Remo, conversely, has shown significant defensive resilience on the road, often frustrating higher-ranked opponents with a compact tactical setup and methodical build-up play. Statistical trends suggest a low-to-moderate scoring affair where midfield dominance and set-piece efficiency will likely dictate the outcome. Both clubs are desperate for consistency, making this a definitive test of tactical organization versus individual clinical finishing in the final third of the pitch.
General expectations point toward an honest, methodical pace. The match atmosphere is likely to be tense, with Chapecoense-SC attempting to dictate play while Remo focuses on high-impact counter-attacking transitions to exploit any home-side defensive vulnerabilities.
Under 2.5 goals has occurred in 70% of Remo's recent away matches.
Chapecoense-SC averages 1.2 goals per home match this season.
Clean sheet ratios for both sides cluster around 30% in this fixture.
Average total shots per game for this matchup is 10.5.
Chapecoense-SC shows moderate attacking strength at home but remains prone to individual errors in transition. Remo possesses a strong defensive structure but has occasionally under-performed their away xG due to inefficient finishing in high-pressure scenarios.
High-Efficiency Tactical Setup: Remo's compact 4-5-1 defensive block.
Defensive Vulnerability Insight: Chapecoense's susceptibility to central overlapping runs.
High-Impact Substitution Patterns: Chapecoense's use of fresh wingers for late-game width.
Injuries & Doubts
Chapecoense-SC
Bruno Tubarao
Hamstring Injury
Joao Paulo
Yellow Cards
Rafael Carvalheira
Knee Injury
Heitor
Hamstring Injury
Vinicius Balieiro
Knee Injury
Max Alves
Back Injury
Remo
Patrick
Loan agreement
Edson Fernando
Red Card
Ze Ivaldo
Loan agreement
Matheus Felipe
Inactive
D. Tchamba
Inactive
Mayk
Calf Injury
Form and Head to Head
Chapecoense-SC
LDLWL
Remo
DLLLL
Head-to-head records suggest a highly competitive rivalry often resulting in narrow margins. Chapecoense-SC has maintained a slight edge in possession metrics at home, while Remo typically prioritizes late-game tactical shifts to secure results.
Key Stats
Average xG: 1.15
Goals Per Match: 2.1
Shots Per Game: 9.8
Cards and Corners
StatChapecoense-SCRemo
Yellow Cards
3
2
Red Cards
0
0
Corners
6
4
Discipline metrics indicate a moderate to high yellow card frequency for the home side. Corner kick frequency is expected to be average, with Chapecoense likely earning more set-pieces through wing play.
Verdict
Final verdict: A tight tactical affair is likely. The key takeaway is the battle for midfield control, where Remo's organization may neutralize Chapecoense's home-field intent. Expect a low-scoring contest with a high probability of a draw.
FAQ
What is the expected goal frequency?+
The game is expected to be low-scoring, with under 2.5 goals occurring in 70% of Remo's recent away starts.
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