Burnley vs Wolves Lineups, 24 May 2026

Our analytical model suggests a tight contest. Wolves hold a 38% probability of victory, reflecting their slightly superior attacking quality. A draw is estimated at 35%, while Burnley's home win probability stands at 27%. The expected total goals for the match are between 1 and 2. A likely scoreline trend suggests either a 0-1 victory for Wolves or a 1-1 draw, indicating a low-scoring affair with minimal margins.

• Burnley's home clean sheet rate: 20%.
• Wolves' away scoring rate: 1.1 goals per game.
• Under 2.5 goals probability: 65%.
• First-half goals have occurred in only 40% of their last five encounters.
• Burnley's average aerial duels won per game: 25.

Given the physical nature of both teams, a moderate card count is expected, with both teams averaging around 2 yellow cards per game. Corner kicks are likely to be frequent, especially from Burnley's direct play, with Burnley averaging 5.5 at home and Wolves 4.5 away. This suggests a game with significant set-piece opportunities.

Burnley is set to face Wolves in a crucial Premier League encounter on May 24, 2026. This match pits Burnley's direct, physical style against Wolves' more fluid, counter-attacking approach. Our data-driven analysis examines both teams' recent form, underlying statistical probabilities, and historical head-to-head records to provide a comprehensive preview. The battle for aerial dominance and the effectiveness of each team's defensive transitions will be key battlegrounds in this fixture, with significant implications for their league standings.

This fixture is often characterized by its physicality and tactical discipline. Burnley will aim to leverage their home advantage, focusing on set-pieces and direct play to put pressure on the Wolves defense. Wolves, known for their organized defense and quick breaks, will look to absorb pressure and exploit any spaces left by Burnley's attacking forays. The match is expected to be a tight affair, with both teams prioritizing defensive solidity. Expect a game where moments of individual quality or set-piece execution could be decisive.

Burnley's attacking output has been modest, averaging 1.0 goals per match, often relying on crosses and set-piece opportunities. Their defensive record, however, has shown resilience at home. Wolves, conversely, possess more attacking flair, averaging 1.3 goals per match, often through swift counter-attacks and individual skill. Their defense has been solid but can be vulnerable to sustained aerial bombardment. The midfield battle will be crucial, as both teams seek to win second balls and dictate the tempo.

High-Efficiency Tactical Setup: Wolves' 3-4-3 formation, with wing-backs providing width, allows for quick transitions and defensive solidity. Defensive Vulnerability Insight: Burnley's susceptibility to quick counter-attacks when committing players forward could be exploited. High-Impact Substitution Patterns: Both teams often introduce fresh legs in wide areas to maintain defensive shape or add attacking impetus.

Head-to-head encounters between Burnley and Wolves have historically been closely contested. In their last ten Premier League meetings, Burnley has won 3, Wolves 4, with 3 draws. These matches are often low-scoring, with an average of 2.1 goals per game, reflecting the defensive solidity of both sides. Burnley has a slightly better home record against Wolves, winning 40% of their home fixtures against them.