Sunderland vs Brighton Prediction & Tips, 10 Oct 2026

Premier League · 15:00
FT
31%
28%
40%
S
0
vs[0-0]
B
53'
90'
2
Best PickLadbrokesBrighton2.46
Ladbrokes
1
3.18↓
Ladbrokes
X
3.50↓
Ladbrokes
2
2.46↓

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Final Result

SunderlandS
Sunderland
0 : 2
[0-0]
Brighton
BrightonB
  • 36'O. Boscagli
  • 53'M. De CuyperP. Gross
  • 57'P. Struijk
  • 90+3'J. HadjamG. Rutter
Match details

Substitutions

  • 34'M. Fofana↔T. MeunierSunderland
  • 60'L. Dunk↔C. KostoulasBrighton
  • 68'Costinha↔O. BoscagliBrighton
  • 68'M. Yalcouye↔M. De CuyperBrighton
  • 73'D. Methalie↔R. MandavaSunderland
  • 73'J. Ta Bi↔N. AnguloSunderland
  • 81'J. Angulo↔E. Le FeeSunderland
  • 88'J. Hadjam↔D. GomezBrighton
  • 88'G. Rutter↔Y. AyariBrighton
Go to line-ups
Contents

Our Prediction

Our model projects a high-scoring affair. Brighton hold a 52% win probability, with a 1-2 or 2-2 draw highly likely.

Top scorelines1-22-2

Match Facts

Competition
Premier League
Date
Sat 10 Oct
Kick-off
15:00
Stadium
Stadium of Light, Sunderland
Capacity
49,000
Table Position
Sunderland 17 · Brighton 3

Where to watch Premier League highlights

Premier League highlights are shown in the UK on BBC iPlayer and YouTube. Whether Sunderland vs Brighton is included depends on the broadcasters.

Official UK rights holders, as of October 2026. Links open the broadcaster's website.

Win Probability

SunderlandDrawBrighton
32%28%40%

Match Preview

Sunderland host Brighton in an exciting tactical matchup. Brighton's possession-based style will test Sunderland's defensive resilience and counter-attacking capabilities at home.

An open, fluid game is expected. Brighton will dominate the ball, while Sunderland look to exploit spaces left behind by Brighton's high line.

  • Brighton average 1.7 xG per away match.
  • Sunderland scored in 80% of home games.
  • Over 2.5 goals occurred in 65% of matches.
  • Brighton concede 1.3 goals on average away.

Sunderland are dangerous on transitions, averaging 1.5 goals at home. Brighton excel in possession, maintaining 60% ball control on average.

Brighton's high-efficiency setup relies on vertical passing. Sunderland's defensive vulnerability is their mid-block, which can be bypassed by quick combinations.

Injuries & Doubts

Sunderland
T. Meunier
Injury
A. Browne
Off the roster
R. Mandava
Red Card
D. Ballard
Muscle Injury
B. Brobbey
Muscle Injury
R. Mundle
Knee Injury
Brighton
K. Mitoma
Hamstring Injury
M. Wieffer
Knee Injury
F. Azeez
Abdominal strain
E. Ferguson
Ankle Injury
J. Hinshelwood
Injury
S. Tzimas
Knee Injury

Form and Head to Head

Sunderland
LLLDW
Brighton
WWWDL

Brighton have won two of the last three encounters, but Sunderland's home record makes this a highly competitive fixture.

Key Stats

  • Sunderland xG: 1.25
  • Brighton xG: 1.75
  • Shots per game: 11.2 vs 14.8

Odds

Sunderland3.00
Draw3.34
Brighton2.39

Average odds across all bookmakers. 18+ | Gamble responsibly

Cards and Corners

StatSunderlandBrighton
Yellow Cards
2
1
Red Cards
0
0
Corners
5
7

Expect high corner counts due to Brighton's wide attacking play. Tactical fouls in transition will likely result in several bookings.

Verdict

Brighton's superior technical quality and possession dominance should eventually break down Sunderland's defense, securing a narrow away victory.

FAQ

What is Brighton's average possession?

Brighton maintains an average of 60% ball possession per match.

Where can I watch Premier League highlights?

Premier League highlights are shown in the UK on BBC iPlayer and YouTube. Whether Sunderland vs Brighton is included depends on the broadcasters.

For informational purposes only. 18+ | Gamble responsibly | begambleaware.org