Waalwijk 1-1 Roda: Result and Stats, 1 May 2026

Analytical models favor Over 2.5 goals with a 70% probability. A 2-1 or 2-2 result is the most statistically consistent scoreline given the high goal participation rates.

There is a 76% probability for Both Teams to Score (BTTS) in this fixture.Over 0.5 goals in the first half has an 85% historical potential.RKC Waalwijk averages 1.83 goals per match compared to Roda's 1.7.Over 1.5 goals has been achieved in 92% of all recent matches between these two sides.

Expect 9-10 corners total, with Waalwijk averaging 5.83 corners per match. Discipline metrics point toward a moderate card count, with Roda committing more fouls on average.

The Eredivisie fixture between RKC Waalwijk and Roda JC at the Mandemakers Stadion presents a high-stakes tactical battle defined by offensive volatility and defensive vulnerability. Statistical performance data indicates a high probability for a high-scoring game, with BTTS potential sitting at a notable 76% based on recent league trends. Historically, this match-up has seen a staggering 97% frequency of over 0.5 goals, emphasizing the likelihood of early breakthroughs. Performance modeling shows Waalwijk entering with a slightly higher goal-scoring potential of 1.83 per match, while Roda JC maintains a competitive 1.7 average. The tactical importance of this encounter centers on the first-half tempo, as there is an 85% statistical potential for at least one goal before the interval. With both teams averaging over 12 shots per game, territorial dominance in the middle third will be the primary engine for chance creation.

Expect an expansive, offensive display with significant end-to-end action. Historical trends point toward a high frequency of second-half goals and set-piece opportunities.

RKC Waalwijk demonstrates a potent offensive profile, having scored in 89% of their total matches this season. However, their defensive unit remains a concern, with a clean sheet ratio of only 17%. SV Roda JC operates with a more balanced tactical approach, boasting a goal participation rate of 92% in home games and managing clean sheets in 19% of their fixtures. Waalwijk's ability to score the first goal (50% frequency) will be critical in forcing Roda to abandon their structured mid-block. The tactical battle will likely be decided by Roda's ability to manage vertical transitions against Waalwijk's high-pressing system.

High-Efficiency Tactical Setup: Waalwijk's high-press 4-2-3-1 system. Defensive Vulnerability Insight: Roda's struggle with offside traps, averaging 3.06 per match. High-Impact Substitution Patterns: Roda's tendency to introduce target-man strikers late in the game.

Historical head-to-head statistics indicate a competitive rivalry, with Roda JC winning 41% of matches compared to Waalwijk's 32%. Over 1.5 goals has occurred in 92% of their previous encounters.