Baltika 0-1 Rubin Kazan: Result and Lineups, 2 May 2026

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Dynamo Moscow	10	7	1	2	+7	22
2	CSKA Moscow	10	6	4	0	+9	22
3	Zenit	10	7	0	3	+11	21
4	Krasnodar	10	6	3	1	+6	21
5	Spartak Moscow	10	6	2	2	+9	20
6	Rubin Kazan	10	2	6	2	0	12
7	Orenburg	10	2	6	2	+1	12
8	Baltika	10	3	3	4	+2	12
9	Dynamo Makhachkala	10	4	0	6	-5	12
10	Krylya Sovetov	10	2	6	2	-1	12

Final Result

Baltika

0 : 1

[0-1]

RubinKazan

59'Y. Kovalev
76'E. Civic
90+3'N. Titkov

29'M. DakuN. Gripshi
47'I. Rozhkov
90+4'I. Saavedra

Match details

Substitutions

46'N. Titkov↔A. MendelBaltika
46'I. Belikov↔M. PetrovBaltika
62'V. Pospelov↔Y. KovalevBaltika
62'T. Yenne↔I. PetrovBaltika
63'R. Bezrukov↔N. GripshiRubin Kazan
79'J. Siwe↔M. DakuRubin Kazan
79'D. Kuzyaev↔I. RozhkovRubin Kazan
85'E. Anderson↔N. GassamaBaltika
89'A. Gritsaenko↔N. LobovRubin Kazan
89'D. Kuznetsov↔V. HodzaRubin Kazan

Go to line-ups

Our Prediction

The analytical model predicts a Under 2.5 goals outcome as a high-probability event (70%). A 1-0 or 0-0 scoreline is the most likely trend according to historical performance metrics.

Top scorelines1-00-0

Match Facts

Competition: Premier League
Date: Sat 2 May
Kick-off: 14:30
Stadium: Rostec Arena, Kaliningrad
Capacity: 35,212
Table Position: Baltika 8 · Rubin Kazan 6

Match Preview

The upcoming clash between Baltika and Rubin Kazan is set to be a masterclass in defensive rigidity and tactical patience. Both teams have shown a statistical preference for maintaining a solid defensive shape over expansive attacking play this season. Baltika's home performance data reveals a high frequency of clean sheets, supported by a defensive unit with a high interception-to-foul ratio. Rubin Kazan, on the other hand, operates with a tactical setup that prioritizes winning second balls in the midfield to launch vertical attacks. This match is expected to be decided by marginal gains, specifically in set-piece scenarios and individual defensive errors. Performance modeling suggests a low-scoring affair where the first goal will likely determine the eventual winner, given the recovery speed of both defensive blocks.

A high-intensity, physical encounter is expected, with much of the play concentrated in the middle third of the pitch as both teams vie for control.

Baltika has conceded 0.9 goals per match at home.Rubin Kazan's shot accuracy away from home is 26%.Average match distance covered by Baltika midfielders is top-tier for the league.60% of goals in this fixture occur after the 65th minute.

Baltika's 4-2-3-1 formation provides a double pivot that effectively shields their back four. Their attacking transitions are deliberate, focusing on maintaining ball security. Rubin Kazan utilizes a back-five system that excels at neutralizing crosses but struggles with lateral movement against quick passing combinations in the final third. Data shows Rubin's attacking xG is primarily generated from isolated counter-attacks. Rubin Kazan's defensive xG conceded in away fixtures remains a concern, although their clinical finishing from low-volume chances makes them dangerous on the break. Baltika's ability to maintain high tempo will be the primary differentiator in this matchup.

High-Efficiency Tactical Setup: Baltika's zonal marking during defensive set-pieces. Defensive Vulnerability Insight: Rubin Kazan's gap between wing-backs and center-backs on transitions. High-Impact Substitution Patterns: Baltika's tendency to introduce technical wingers late.

Injuries & Doubts

Baltika

A. Mendel

Yellow Cards

A. Filin

Knee Injury

E. Anderson

Yellow Cards

Rubin Kazan

I. Samoshnikov

Red Card

A. Jukic

Inactive

D. Shabanhaxhaj

Injury

Form and Head to Head

Baltika

DLDLW

Rubin Kazan

LDDDW

Head-to-head records indicate a high percentage of draws or one-goal margins, with 50% of recent meetings ending with Under 1.5 goals.

Key Stats

xG: 1.05 vs 0.85Goals per match: 1.1Shots per game: 9.2

Cards and Corners

Discipline is expected to be moderate (4 cards). Corners are likely to be low (under 9) due to the defensive focus of both teams.

Verdict

The final verdict emphasizes a defensive stalemate. Baltika's slight home advantage in defensive metrics makes them more likely to secure a result, albeit by a slim margin over 90 minutes.