St. Raphael 37-30 Chartres: Result, 6 Jun 2026

St. Raphael hosts Chartres on June 6, 2026, in a match that could be a high-scoring affair. St. Raphael, known for their dynamic and often fast-paced offensive game, will be looking to capitalize on their home advantage to secure a crucial win. Chartres, while capable of offensive bursts, has struggled with defensive consistency, particularly on the road. This encounter pits St. Raphael's attacking flair against Chartres' need for defensive improvement. The narrative suggests St. Raphael will aim to dictate the tempo and exploit Chartres' vulnerabilities.

This match is expected to feature a high tempo, driven by St. Raphael's preference for quick transitions and Chartres' tendency to engage in open play. St. Raphael will aim to push the ball quickly and utilize their strong backcourt. Chartres will try to match the pace, but their defensive solidity will be tested. Defensive intensity will be a key factor, but both teams have shown vulnerabilities. Expect a game with numerous scoring opportunities and potentially a higher total goal count.

St. Raphael's offense is characterized by its dynamic backcourt and effective wing play, leading to a good overall shot efficiency of 69%. They are adept at creating fast-break goals and converting 7-meter throws at a rate of 79%. Chartres' offense, while capable of individual brilliance, can be inconsistent. They rely on their primary playmakers for scoring and can be prone to isolation plays. Their fast-break threat is moderate, often stemming from individual defensive efforts rather than systemic turnovers.

St. Raphael typically employs an aggressive 5-1 defense, designed to pressure ball handlers and disrupt playmaking. While this can lead to turnovers, it sometimes leaves them vulnerable to quick shifts and can result in more 2-minute suspensions. Chartres often uses a 6-0 defense, but their execution and individual defensive prowess have been inconsistent. They struggle with defensive block quality and can concede easy goals from the 9-meter line, making them susceptible to strong offensive teams.

St. Raphael's goalkeeper has been a solid performer, with a save percentage of 35%, providing a reliable last line of defense and contributing to fast breaks. Their consistency in crucial moments is a significant asset. Chartres' goalkeepers have faced a tougher challenge, often under more pressure due to defensive lapses. Their save percentage (30%) reflects this, but they are capable of individual brilliance. A standout performance from Chartres' keeper would be essential to keep them competitive against St. Raphael's potent attack.

• St. Raphael: W L W D L
• Chartres: L L D W L

In recent head-to-head matchups, St. Raphael has held an advantage over Chartres, winning three of their last five encounters. The average total goals in these games has been around 59 goals, indicating a relatively high-scoring contest. St. Raphael typically wins by a margin of 3-5 goals. Chartres' last victory against St. Raphael was a narrow home win last season, suggesting they can challenge when at their best, but face a tougher task on the road.

• St. Raphael's offensive rating (1.20 goals/possession) is a key strength.
• Chartres averages 11.0 turnovers per game, a concern against St. Raphael's transition.
• St. Raphael's shot efficiency is 69%, compared to Chartres' 63%.
• St. Raphael averages 5.8 fast-break goals, while Chartres averages 4.0.
• Chartres' defensive rating (1.12 goals conceded/possession) highlights their struggles.

St. Raphael will focus on maintaining a high offensive tempo, exploiting Chartres' defensive vulnerabilities with quick transitions and dynamic backcourt play. Chartres' tactical approach will be to minimize turnovers, try to slow down St. Raphael's attack when possible, and capitalize on any fast-break opportunities. A key battle will be St. Raphael's backcourt against Chartres' 6-0 defense, and how effectively Chartres can prevent St. Raphael's wing players from getting open shots.

St. Raphael has shown a mixed record in pressure moments, capable of clutch plays but also prone to errors. Their 7-meter specialists are generally reliable. Chartres, however, has shown vulnerability in tight endgames, sometimes making unforced errors or taking low-percentage shots. Managing 2-minute suspensions will be critical for Chartres, as their depth can be tested, potentially leading to defensive breakdowns against St. Raphael's relentless attack.

• Offensive Rating (Home): 1.20 goals/possession
• Defensive Rating (Home): 1.05 goals conceded/possession
• Shot Efficiency (Home): 69%
• Goalkeeper Save Percentage (Home): 35%
• Turnovers Per Game (Home): 9.0
• Offensive Rating (Away): 1.08 goals/possession
• Defensive Rating (Away): 1.12 goals conceded/possession
• Shot Efficiency (Away): 63%
• Goalkeeper Save Percentage (Away): 30%
• Turnovers Per Game (Away): 11.0

Our analytical model predicts a St. Raphael victory with a 70% probability. The expected total goals for the match is 59 goals. We anticipate a 60% probability of the total goals being over 58.5 and a 40% probability of being under 58.5, suggesting a moderately high-scoring game.

St. Raphael's offensive firepower and home advantage make them the favorites in this encounter. Chartres will need a significant improvement in their defensive performance and a strong showing from their goalkeeper to challenge. Expect St. Raphael to control the tempo and secure a victory in a match that is likely to see a good number of goals.