Kosovo W 21-38 Italy W: Result, 26 Aug 2026

The expected total goals for the match is 56.

Italy W's offense is characterized by its structured positional play and efficient backcourt shooting, contributing to an offensive rating of 55 goals per 100 possessions. They are adept at exploiting defensive gaps with well-timed passes to their line player. Kosovo W's attack is more direct and relies heavily on individual drives and fast-break opportunities, with 22% of their goals coming from transition. Their shot efficiency stands at 57%, indicating room for improvement in shot selection.

Kosovo W's defense is aggressive and high-pressure, often employing a 5-1 system to disrupt opponent playmakers. However, this can sometimes leave them vulnerable to quick shifts and well-executed positional attacks, reflected in their defensive rating of 56 goals conceded per 100 possessions. Italy W operates with a more conservative 6-0 defense, focusing on strong blocking and disciplined positioning. Their defensive discipline is a key asset, aiming to force contested shots and limit easy scoring chances.

The goalkeeping performance will be a significant factor. Italy W's goalkeeper maintains a respectable save percentage of 33%, providing a reliable last line of defense and contributing to their overall defensive stability. Kosovo W's goalkeeper, with a 30% save rate, is athletic but can be inconsistent. Her ability to make crucial saves and quickly distribute the ball for fast-breaks will be vital for Kosovo to capitalize on their high-tempo game.

Italy W will focus on controlling the pace, executing their positional attacks, and minimizing turnovers to deny Kosovo W fast-break opportunities. Kosovo W will aim to disrupt Italy's rhythm with aggressive defense and capitalize on every transition chance. The battle for central court control and the effectiveness of each team's 7-meter efficiency will be crucial. Italy's ability to maintain defensive discipline against Kosovo's speed will be key.

In pressure moments, Italy W typically relies on their experienced players to maintain composure, execute set plays, and draw fouls. Kosovo W, while energetic, can sometimes rush decisions under duress, leading to turnovers. Handling 2-minute suspensions will test the depth and tactical flexibility of both teams. Italy's higher 7-meter efficiency (78%) could be a decisive factor in tight finishes, giving them an edge in penalty situations.