Melbourne Ice 4-3 CBR Brave: Result, 22 Aug 2026



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Head to Head


Previous Meetings
AIHL - Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | OW | OL | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 65 | |
| 2 | 30 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 61 | |
| 3 | 30 | 18 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 61 | |
| 4 | 30 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 48 | |
| 5 | 30 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 46 | |
| 6 | 30 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 46 | |
| 7 | 30 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 44 | |
| 8 | 30 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 30 | |
| 9 | 30 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 27 | |
| 10 | 30 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 14 |
Final Result
Contents
Our Prediction
We anticipate a moderately high-scoring game, with an expected total of 6.0 goals.
Top Markets
- Predicted WinnerMelbourne Ice · 55%
- Expected Goals6.0
- Over Goals Line60%
- Under Goals Line40%
Match Facts
- Competition
- AIHL - Play Offs
- Date
- Sat 22 Aug
- Puck Drop
- 08:00
- Table Position
- Melbourne Ice 7 · CBR Brave 3
Match Preview
This highly anticipated matchup between CBR Brave and Melbourne Ice promises to be a compelling contest in the Australian Ice Hockey League (AIHL). Both teams are vying for crucial points as the season progresses, with playoff implications potentially on the line. Melbourne, often a strong contender, will look to leverage their home ice advantage against a resilient CBR Brave squad known for their structured play. The narrative centers on whether Melbourne's offensive firepower can overcome CBR's disciplined defensive scheme.
Expect an up-tempo affair with both teams favoring an aggressive forecheck. Melbourne Ice typically dictates pace with their relentless puck pursuit, while CBR Brave aims to counter with quick transitions. The game is likely to feature numerous scoring chances, particularly off the rush, making goaltending a critical factor. Special teams will also play a pivotal role in deciding the outcome.
- Melbourne Ice holds a significant edge in Corsi For % (54.1%), indicating superior puck possession.
- CBR Brave's Expected Goals For % (51.5%) suggests they generate higher quality chances despite lower volume.
- Melbourne's power play is a top-tier unit, converting at 23.5%.
- Both teams exhibit strong defensive structures, with Melbourne suppressing shots and CBR limiting high-danger chances.
- Goaltending performance, particularly in high-leverage situations, will be a key determinant.
Offense Preview
CBR Brave typically generates offense through a strong cycle game, aiming for high-danger chances from the slot. Their 5-on-5 xG/60 of 2.85 indicates an efficient attack, often converting quality over sheer volume. Melbourne Ice, conversely, thrives on a high-volume shot approach, leading the league in Corsi For percentage. Their power play, converting at 23.5%, is a significant threat, often exploiting defensive breakdowns with quick puck movement and net-front presence.
Defense Preview
Melbourne Ice employs an aggressive neutral-zone trap, aiming to stifle opposing rushes and force dump-ins. They excel at shot suppression, allowing an average of only 28 shots per game. CBR Brave's defense, while not as high-volume suppressive, focuses on limiting high-danger scoring chances, reflected in their low xG Against/60. Their penalty kill operates at a respectable 81.2% efficiency, often relying on active sticks and strong goaltending.
Goalie Impact
Melbourne's starting netminder boasts a .915 Save Percentage and +3.2 Goals Saved Above Expected (GSAx), indicating strong performance under pressure, especially on high-danger shots. CBR Brave's goaltending has been more inconsistent, with a .902 Save Percentage but showing flashes of brilliance, particularly in tight games. Their ability to make timely saves will be crucial against Melbourne's potent offense.
Tactical Themes
Melbourne will likely employ a relentless forecheck to create turnovers in the offensive zone, transitioning quickly to high-danger areas. CBR Brave will focus on a disciplined neutral-zone defense, aiming to slow down Melbourne's rush attack and force them into perimeter shots. Expect CBR to leverage their cycle game to wear down Melbourne's defense and create space.
Pressure Moments
Melbourne Ice has shown resilience in close games, often finding late-game heroics, and boasts a strong record when leading after two periods. CBR Brave, while capable of comebacks, sometimes struggles to maintain leads in the third period, making their defensive composure critical in tight situations. Overtime scenarios often favor Melbourne's skilled forwards.
Form and Head to Head
- CBR Brave: W W L OTL W
- Melbourne Ice: W L W W OTL


Previous Meetings
- 22.08.2026Australia: AIHLMelbourne Ice4 - 3CBR Brave
- 09.08.2026Australia: AIHLCBR Brave5 - 2Melbourne Ice
- 08.08.2026Australia: AIHLCBR Brave5 - 2Melbourne Ice
- 02.05.2026Australia: AIHLMelbourne Ice4 - 3CBR Brave
- 31.08.2025Australia: AIHLMelbourne Ice7 - 3CBR Brave
Historically, matchups between CBR Brave and Melbourne Ice have been tightly contested, often decided by a single goal. Recent encounters have seen Melbourne edge out CBR, particularly on home ice, with an average of 6.5 total goals per game. Special teams have frequently been the difference-maker in their head-to-head history.
Key Stats
- Corsi For % (Home): 54.1%
- Corsi For % (Away): 45.9%
- Fenwick For % (Home): 53.8%
- Fenwick For % (Away): 46.2%
- Expected Goals For (Home): 3.15
- Expected Goals For (Away): 2.85
- Expected Goals Against (Home): 2.70
- Expected Goals Against (Away): 3.00
- Save Percentage (Home): .915
- Save Percentage (Away): .902
- Goals Saved Above Expected (Home): +3.2
- Goals Saved Above Expected (Away): -0.5
Possession, Expected Goals and Goalies
- 54.1%Corsi For %45.9%
- 53.8%Fenwick For %46.2%
- 3.15xG For2.85
- 2.70xG Against3.00
- 91.5%Save %90.2%
- 3.2Goals Saved Above Exp.-0.5
Verdict
This match pits Melbourne's high-volume, aggressive offense against CBR Brave's structured, quality-over-quantity approach. While Melbourne's home-ice advantage and superior special teams give them an edge, CBR's ability to limit high-danger chances could keep the game tight. Expect a competitive battle where goaltending and power-play efficiency will be paramount.
FAQ
What is Corsi in hockey analytics?+
Corsi measures all shot attempts (shots on goal, missed shots, blocked shots) for and against a team while a player is on the ice. It's a proxy for puck possession and offensive zone time.
How important is goaltending in this matchup?+
Goaltending will be crucial, especially given both teams' offensive capabilities. Strong save percentages and positive Goals Saved Above Expected (GSAx) will be key to securing a win.
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