South Carolina Stingrays 3-1 Florida Everblades: Result, 16 May 2026
ECHL · 00:05South Carolina
Stingrays
3
vs
Florida
Everblades
1
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Final
3:1
Head to Head
South Carolina Stingrays
1
Draws
0
3 played
Florida Everblades
2
33%67%
Previous Meetings
17.05.2026USA: ECHL
South Carolina Stingrays
1 - 3
Florida Everblades15.05.2026USA: ECHL
South Carolina Stingrays
3 - 1
Florida Everblades13.05.2026USA: ECHL
South Carolina Stingrays
3 - 7
Florida EverbladesEastern Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | OW | OL | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 72 | 43 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 108 | |
| 2 | 72 | 37 | 9 | 6 | 20 | 98 | |
| 3 | 72 | 37 | 8 | 4 | 23 | 94 | |
| 4 | 72 | 34 | 10 | 5 | 23 | 93 | |
| 5 | 72 | 33 | 9 | 9 | 21 | 93 | |
| 6 | 72 | 24 | 13 | 11 | 24 | 85 | |
| 7 | 72 | 29 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 82 | |
| 8 | 72 | 29 | 6 | 7 | 30 | 77 | |
| 9 | 72 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 30 | 77 | |
| 10 | 72 | 29 | 6 | 4 | 33 | 74 | |
| 11 | 72 | 21 | 8 | 11 | 32 | 69 | |
| 12 | 72 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 38 | 64 | |
| 13 | 72 | 19 | 8 | 10 | 35 | 64 | |
| 14 | 72 | 26 | 3 | 5 | 38 | 63 | |
| 15 | 72 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 46 | 45 |
Final Result
South Carolina Stingrays3 - 1Florida Everblades
Contents
Our Prediction
The model projects a Florida victory with a 53% probability. The expected total goals are low, set at 5.0, with a 62% probability for the under reflecting the defensive philosophies involved.
Top Markets
- Predicted WinnerFlorida Everblades · 53%
- Expected Goals5.0
- Over Goals Line38%
- Under Goals Line62%
Match Facts
- Competition
- ECHL
- Date
- Sat 16 May
- Puck Drop
- 00:05
- Table Position
- South Carolina Stingrays 3 · Florida Everblades 1
Win Probability
South Carolina StingraysFlorida Everblades
47%53%
Match Preview
The ECHL South Division presents a high-stakes encounter as the South Carolina Stingrays host the Florida Everblades. This matchup features two of the most defensively sound programs in the league, both prioritizing structural integrity and shot suppression. The Everblades, consistent contenders for the Kelly Cup, bring a veteran core that excels in low-event hockey and high-pressure situations. The Stingrays, leveraging their home-ice advantage, focus on a disciplined neutral-zone lock and opportunistic scoring. The narrative stakes center on the battle for division seeding, where every point in head-to-head matchups carries significant weight for playoff positioning. For both squads, the ability to manage high-danger chances and maintain discipline on special teams will be paramount. Expect a game defined by tactical patience, where defensive errors are rare and the goaltending performance is likely to be the primary differentiator in a tightly contested divisional clash.
A low-event, grindy affair is expected. Both teams prioritize defensive stability, which will likely result in lower shot volume but higher intensity in board battles and physical zone play.
Florida averages 2.8 expected goals per 60 minutes.South Carolina has an 86.5% penalty kill rate at home.The Everblades lead the division in shot suppression.Stingrays convert 18% of their high-danger chances.Florida has a 65% win rate in one-goal games this season.
Offense Preview
Florida's offense relies on expected goals (xG) quality rather than volume, focusing on net-front presence and rebound opportunities. South Carolina generates a respectable Corsi share at home, primarily through a structured power play and defensive-zone transitions that lead to counter-attack rushes.
Defense Preview
Both defenses are among the league leaders in shot suppression. Florida's system is built on experience, while the Stingrays utilize speed to close gaps. The penalty kills for both teams are elite, making even-strength goals even more valuable in this specific matchup.
Goalie Impact
Goaltending is a major asset for both sides. The Everblades' netminder has a track record of postseason excellence, while the Stingrays' starter leads the division in high-danger save percentage. Both goalies are likely to post a positive goals saved above expected (GSAx) in this contest.
Tactical Themes
Florida will use a 1-3-1 neutral-zone trap to frustrate the Stingrays. South Carolina will counter with a physical forecheck to create turnovers. The winner will be the team that better survives the sustained pressure of the second period.
Pressure Moments
The Everblades are exceptionally poised in the third period, utilizing their experience to protect leads. South Carolina is dangerous in overtime, where their speed in 3-on-3 scenarios gives them a distinct statistical advantage.
Form and Head to Head
South Carolina Stingrays: W L W W LFlorida Everblades: W W L W W
The season series has been dominated by one-goal games and defensive stalemates. Florida has a slight edge in recent meetings, winning three of the last five through superior third-period execution.
Key Stats
Corsi For%: 48.2 (Home) / 51.8 (Away)Expected Goals For: 2.7 (Home) / 3.0 (Away)Save Percentage: .915 (Home) / .922 (Away)GSAx: +3.2 (Home) / +5.1 (Away)
Possession, Expected Goals and Goalies
| Stat | South Carolina Stingrays | Florida Everblades |
|---|---|---|
| Corsi For % | 48.2% | 51.8% |
| Fenwick For % | 47.5% | 50.9% |
| xG For | 2.70 | 3.00 |
| xG Against | 2.90 | 2.60 |
| Save % | 91.5% | 92.2% |
| Goals Saved Above Exp. | 3.2 | 5.1 |
Verdict
Florida's experience and superior defensive metrics give them the slight analytical edge. While South Carolina's home-ice energy will make it competitive, the Everblades' ability to suppress high-danger looks should lead them to a narrow victory in a low-scoring game.
FAQ
What is the key to an Everblades victory?+
The key is their superior shot suppression and veteran presence, which allows them to win low-event, defensive stalemates.
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