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MMA·UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2·Mauricio Ruffy vs Arman Tsarukyan
UpcomingLightweight
Mauricio Ruffy
Mauricio Ruffy
vs
Arman Tsarukyan
Arman Tsarukyan
"Ahalkalakets" · 22-0-3
Ladbrokes
1
4.00↓
Ladbrokes
2
1.30↓
Predicted Winner
Arman Tsarukyan
35%
win probability
Fight Projection
Expected Rounds3.5
KO/TKO (Home)35%
KO/TKO (Away)25%
SUB (Home)10%
SUB (Away)20%
Decision (Home)10%
Decision (Away)40%
Draw100%
Over Rounds Line60%
Under Rounds Line40%
Fighter Stats
RuffyTsarukyan
Striking
4.8Sig. Strikes / Min3.8
58%Strike Accuracy48%
2.6Absorbed / Min1.9
65%Aggression Index82%
Grappling
0.5Takedowns / 15min3.4
40%TD Accuracy36%
85%TD Defense75%
15%Control Time %48%
Fight Preview

In this lightweight matchup, prospect Mauricio Ruffy tests his high-level striking against elite contender Arman Tsarukyan. Tsarukyan brings relentless chain wrestling, while Ruffy relies on knockout power and distance control.

Matchup Overview

This bout features a classic striker versus wrestler dynamic. Tsarukyan will look to dictate pace via mat control, whereas Ruffy needs distance to land power shots.

Style Analysis

Ruffy is a precise counter-striker with heavy hands. Tsarukyan utilizes relentless forward pressure, blending explosive level changes with ground-and-pound.

Tale of the Tape
  • Ruffy: 5 ft 11 in, 75 in reach, 28 y/o, Orthodox
  • Tsarukyan: 5 ft 7 in, 72 in reach, 29 y/o, Orthodox
Striking Battle

Ruffy lands 4.80 significant strikes per minute with crisp boxing. Tsarukyan counters with volume, landing 3.80 strikes per minute.

Grappling & Wrestling

Tsarukyan averages 3.40 takedowns per 15 minutes with strong control. Ruffy maintains high takedown defense but faces his toughest test.

Recent Form
  • Ruffy: W W W W W
  • Tsarukyan: W W W W L
Key Insights
  • Tsarukyan averages 3.40 takedowns per 15 minutes.
  • Ruffy maintains an 85% takedown defense rate.
  • Tsarukyan controls 48% of match duration on average.
  • Ruffy holds a 90% finish rate via knockout.
Tactical Themes

Key themes include cage control, wrestling transition speed, and Ruffy timing the intercepting knee.

Stamina & Momentum

Tsarukyan maintains high output over 5 rounds. Ruffy must conserve energy during defensive grappling phases.

Finish Risk

High early KO risk for Tsarukyan; high submission or TKO risk for Ruffy if grounded early.

Data Stats
  • Sig. Strikes Landed/Min: 4.80 vs 3.80
  • Sig. Strike Accuracy: 58% vs 48%
  • Takedowns/15m: 0.50 vs 3.40
  • Control Time Share: 15% vs 48%
Our Pick

Tsarukyan is favored to win via decision or late ground-and-pound stoppage by leveraging wrestling dominance.

Final Verdict

Tsarukyan's top-tier grappling efficiency gives him the tactical edge to secure a decision victory.

For informational purposes only. 18+ | Gamble responsibly | begambleaware.org

0.2Sub Attempts / 15min1.1
45%Clutch Round Win %55%