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Aaron Pico vs Arnold Allen Prediction & Tips, 24 Oct 2026

UpcomingFeatherweight
Aaron Pico
Aaron Pico
vs
Arnold Allen
Arnold Allen
Contents

Our Prediction

Allen projected to win via close decision by capitalizing on striking exchanges in rounds two and three.

Top Markets

  • Expected Rounds2.7
  • Over Rounds Line55%
  • Under Rounds Line45%

Match Facts

Event
UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev
Date
Sat 24 Oct
Start
11:00
Weight Class
Featherweight

Fight Preview

Aaron Pico takes on Arnold Allen in a high-level featherweight matchup. This bout features elite wrestling pedigree meeting crisp, high-volume counter-striking.
["Pico exhibits exceptional explosive wrestling entries.", "Allen maintains high striking defense efficiency.", "Control time heavily influences scoring if Pico lands takedowns.", "Southpaw stance provides Allen unique angles.", "Finish probability remains balanced."]

Striking Battle

Allen holds a technical striking edge at range, while Pico possesses heavy knockout power in close exchanges.

Grappling & Wrestling

Pico maintains an elite wrestling advantage with high-amplitude takedowns, whereas Allen focuses on scrambles and get-ups.

Tactical Themes

Pico must establish his wrestling early to offset Allen's southpaw counters.

Stamina & Momentum

Pico traditionally starts fast, while Allen excels in maintaining a steady pace.

Finish Risk

Moderate finish risk due to Pico's explosive power and Allen's durability.

Form and Style

  • Aaron Pico: W W L W W
  • Arnold Allen: L W W L L

Style Analysis

Pico relies on explosive explosive double-leg takedowns and heavy hooks. Allen utilizes orthodox counter-striking and excellent distance control.

Tale of the Tape

  • Pico: Height 5'8", Reach 73", Age 30, Stance Orthodox
  • Allen: Height 5'8", Reach 70", Age 32, Stance Southpaw

Key Stats

  • Pico: 4.1 Sig. Strikes/Min, 3.8 Takedowns/15m, 38% Control Time
  • Allen: 4.5 Sig. Strikes/Min, 0.5 Takedowns/15m, 20% Control Time

Striking, Wrestling and Grappling

Aaron PicoArnold Allen
  • 4.1Sig. Strikes / Min4.5
  • 51%Strike Accuracy48%
  • 3.2Absorbed / Min2.5
  • 3.8Takedowns / 15min0.5
  • 52%TD Accuracy30%
  • 70%TD Defense75%
  • 45%Control Time %20%
  • 0.4Sub Attempts / 15min0.1

Verdict

Allen's striking defense and technical volume edge out Pico's early wrestling pressure.

FAQ

Who wins Aaron Pico vs Arnold Allen?

Arnold Allen holds a technical striking advantage.

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