Contents
Our Prediction
Analytical models reveal a highly polarized projection based on the fight's location. Dulatov holds an incredibly high probability for a KO/TKO finish in the opening round due to his physical dimensions and striking metrics. Should Turman survive the initial surge, his grappling parameters give him a high probability of securing a submission or a grinding decision. Judges' scoring tendencies favor Turman's control if the fight goes late.
Top Markets
- Method of VictoryIslam Dulatov by KO/TKO · 65%
- Expected Rounds1.5
- Over Rounds Line35%
- Under Rounds Line65%
Match Facts
- Event
- UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov
- Date
- Sat 25 Jul
- Start
- 14:30
- Record
- Wellington Turman 18-0-8 · Islam Dulatov 12-0-1
Fight Preview
An intriguing welterweight encounter takes place on July 25, 2026, as the veteran Wellington Turman square off against the highly touted promotional newcomer Islam Dulatov. Competing in the 170-pound division, this matchup features a clear clash of competitive experience and physical archetypes. Turman, an established practitioner with extensive cage time against world-class opposition, looks to utilize his deep submission grappling baseline to derail the newcomer. Dulatov enters the arena with considerable hype, carrying a formidable regional finishing record characterized by extreme length and dynamic striking leverage. The narrative surrounding this three-round contest centers on developmental maturity versus explosive potential. For Turman, this is an essential gatekeeper test to defend his position against a surging wave. For Dulatov, it represents an immediate opportunity to validate his analytical metrics against a seasoned veteran who has seen every tactical variation inside the cage.
The tactical overview suggests a definitive grappling versus striking dynamic. The fight script points to Dulatov attempting to maintain a long-range distance striking environment, using his reach to pick Turman apart. Turman will focus on closing the distance quickly, opting for heavy clinch positions along the fence and continuous level changes to transition the fight into a grappling-heavy affair where he holds a clear transitional advantage.
Islam Dulatov possesses an exceptional first-round finishing rate on the regional circuit.Wellington Turman has faced a significantly higher level of competitive opposition historically.Dulatov holds a commanding four-inch reach advantage over Turman.Turman's control time increases exponentially when securing a takedown in the opening two minutes.
Striking Battle
The striking battle features a major statistical tilt toward Dulatov's perimeter metrics. Dulatov lands a high rate of significant strikes per minute with lethal power extraction. Turman's striking accuracy is functional but his defensive tracking shows vulnerabilities when forced into high-velocity pocket exchanges, making it critical that he avoids prolonged standing engagements with the longer newcomer.
Grappling & Wrestling
Grappling efficiency remains Turman's primary path to victory. Turman accumulates steady control time share by utilizing traditional body locks. Once on the mat, his submission attempts are methodical and dangerous. Islam Dulatov's defensive wrestling metrics will be heavily tested for the first time; he must use his long frames to maintain high takedown defense and avoid being flattened out underneath Turman's pressure.
Tactical Themes
The primary tactical theme involves Dulatov's use of linear front kicks and long jabs to keep Turman at bay. Turman must counter by executing rapid level changes beneath Dulatov's straight punches. Turman will aim to implement deep double-leg entries, forcing the taller man's hips to the canvas to entirely eliminate his leverage advantage and striking capability.
Stamina & Momentum
Wellington Turman's veteran pacing allows him to maintain a consistent output across all three rounds, showcasing high structural durability. Islam Dulatov's stamina profile remains a developmental variable due to his quick regional finishes. If the bout crosses the eight-minute threshold, momentum could shift rapidly toward Turman if Dulatov shows any signs of cardiovascular degradation.
Finish Risk
This welterweight contest features premium volatility. Dulatov introduces an immense early KO risk that tests Turman's chin immediately. Turman counters with a significant late submission risk if he drags a fatiguing Dulatov into deep waters on the canvas. Stoppage probabilities due to cuts are elevated for Turman if he absorbs clean ground-and-pound or knee strikes.
Form and Style
Wellington Turman: L W L L WIslam Dulatov: W W W W W
Style Analysis
Wellington Turman operates with a standard, wrestling-first defensive style, prioritizing heavy top control, active guard passing, and continuous submission isolation. His distance striking is basic, designed primarily to hide his entries. Islam Dulatov utilizes a highly aggressive, volume-striking offensive style, leveraging extreme height to launch devastating straight punches and flying knees from a long perimeter.
Tale of the Tape
| Stat | Wellington Turman | Islam Dulatov |
|---|---|---|
| Height | 6' 0" | 6' 3" |
| Reach | 72" | 75" |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
Islam Dulatov possesses a massive physical advantage in this welterweight encounter. Dulatov stands 6 feet 3 inches tall with an impressive 76-inch reach. Wellington Turman stands 6 feet 0 inches with a 72-inch reach. Dulatov's significant height and reach advantages provide him with premium structural leverage, forcing Turman to navigate a dangerous striking zone to execute clinches.
Key Stats
Wellington Turman submission attempts per 15 minutes: 0.80Islam Dulatov reach advantage: +4 inchesWellington Turman control time share percentage: 40%Islam Dulatov win streak: 5 fights
Striking, Wrestling and Grappling
| Stat | Wellington Turman | Islam Dulatov |
|---|---|---|
| Sig. Strikes / Min | 3.0 | 4.9 |
| Strike Accuracy | 46% | 52% |
| Absorbed / Min | 3.7 | 2.5 |
| Takedowns / 15min | 1.9 | 0.5 |
| TD Accuracy | 42% | 33% |
| TD Defense | 71% | 60% |
| Control Time % | 40% | 12% |
| Sub Attempts / 15min | 0.8 | 0.2 |
Verdict
To conclude, this contest represents the classic gatekeeper paradigm. Wellington Turman has the technical submission tools to expose the newcomer if the fight hits the canvas. However, Islam Dulatov's overwhelming physical dimensions, elite striking metrics, and devastating power suggest he will successfully defend the initial entries and secure an explosive knockout victory.
FAQ
What is the height of Islam Dulatov?
Islam Dulatov stands 6 feet 3 inches tall, presenting a rare height profile for the welterweight division.
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No detailed stats available for this fight.