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MMA·UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues·Terrance Chatman vs Anthony Wint
FinalHeavyweightSUB R1 4:29
Terrance Chatman
Terrance Chatman
vs
Anthony Wint
Anthony WintW
Predicted Winner
Terrance Chatman
52%
win probability
Fight Projection
Expected Rounds3.0
KO/TKO (Home)30%
KO/TKO (Away)10%
SUB (Home)5%
SUB (Away)15%
Decision (Home)25%
Decision (Away)30%
Over Rounds Line55%
Under Rounds Line45%
Fighter Stats
ChatmanWint
Striking
5Sig. Strikes / Min4
44%Strike Accuracy40%
3.8Absorbed / Min3.5
7.8%Aggression Index7.2%
Grappling
0.4Takedowns / 15min2.8
25%TD Accuracy48%
65%TD Defense60%
25%Control Time %45%
0.2Sub Attempts / 15min0.7
0.5%Clutch Round Win %0.5%
Fight Preview

The middleweight division will feature an intriguing matchup on August 22, 2026, as Terrance Chatman takes on Anthony Wint. Chatman is known for his explosive power and knockout ability, often seeking to end fights early. Wint, a more well-rounded fighter, brings a gritty style with solid wrestling and a relentless pace. This fight pits Chatman's finishing threat against Wint's durability and grappling control. Both fighters are eager to make a statement, making this three-round contest a crucial step in their respective careers.

Matchup Overview

This middleweight contest is expected to be a dynamic clash of styles. Terrance Chatman will likely look to establish his striking early, aiming to land powerful combinations and secure a knockout. Anthony Wint, with his more balanced approach, will attempt to weather the early storm, close the distance, and implement his wrestling to control the fight on the ground. The key to this matchup will be Chatman's ability to defend takedowns and maintain striking range versus Wint's persistence in securing grappling exchanges and maintaining control time.

Style Analysis

Terrance Chatman is a powerful, aggressive striker who primarily operates from an Orthodox stance. He possesses significant knockout power and often looks for highlight-reel finishes. While his striking is his main weapon, his defensive grappling can be exploited. Anthony Wint is a gritty, well-rounded fighter who blends solid striking with effective wrestling. He is known for his relentless pressure and ability to grind opponents down. Wint's style is characterized by his durability and willingness to engage in tough exchanges, both on the feet and on the mat.

Tale of the Tape

Terrance Chatman stands 6'0" with a 74" reach, fighting from an Orthodox stance. At 29 years old, he is in his athletic prime. Anthony Wint is 5'11" with a 73" reach, also fighting from an Orthodox stance. At 31, he brings slightly more experience. Chatman will have a slight height and reach advantage, which could aid his striking from distance. However, the physical attributes are relatively close, suggesting that technical skill and strategic execution will be the primary determinants of success in this middleweight bout.

Striking Battle

Terrance Chatman is the more potent striker, landing 5.0 significant strikes per minute with 44% accuracy, while absorbing 3.8 strikes per minute. His power is his biggest asset. Anthony Wint lands 4.0 significant strikes per minute with 40% accuracy, absorbing 3.5. Wint's striking is more functional, often used to set up takedowns or to maintain distance. Chatman's powerful combinations will test Wint's chin and defensive capabilities, while Wint's ability to absorb punishment and counter could create openings for his wrestling entries.

Grappling & Wrestling

Anthony Wint holds a clear advantage in the grappling department. He averages 2.8 takedowns per 15 minutes with 48% accuracy and maintains a 45% control time share, demonstrating his ability to dictate where the fight takes place. His submission attempts are moderate at 0.7 per 15 minutes. Terrance Chatman has a respectable 65% takedown defense, but his offensive grappling is minimal (0.4 takedowns per 15 minutes) and his control time share is low (25%). Chatman's ability to stuff takedowns will be crucial to his game plan.

Recent Form
  • Terrance Chatman: W (KO), L (DEC), W (DEC), W (KO), L (SUB)
  • Anthony Wint: W (DEC), W (SUB), L (DEC), W (DEC), L (KO)
Key Insights
  • Chatman's significant strikes landed per minute (5.0) and knockout power are his primary weapons.
  • Wint's takedowns landed per 15 minutes (2.8) and control time share (45%) highlight his grappling strength.
  • Chatman's takedown defense (65%) will be a critical factor against Wint's wrestling.
  • Both fighters have shown durability, suggesting a potential decision outcome if neither can secure a finish.
  • Wint's relentless pressure could wear down Chatman over three rounds.
  • Chatman will need to land early and often to prevent Wint from establishing his grappling game.
Tactical Themes

Chatman's tactical theme will be to establish his striking range, utilize his power punches, and defend takedowns with strong sprawl-and-brawl tactics. He will aim to keep the fight in the center of the cage. Wint's strategy will involve closing the distance, feinting, and executing well-timed level changes for takedowns. Once on the ground, he will focus on maintaining top control, landing ground-and-pound, and looking for submission opportunities. Clinch work against the cage will be vital for Wint to drain Chatman's energy.

Stamina & Momentum

Terrance Chatman's high-power striking style can sometimes lead to fatigue in later rounds if he doesn't secure an early finish. His momentum is heavily tied to landing impactful strikes. Anthony Wint is known for his excellent cardio and ability to maintain a high pace throughout three rounds, often getting stronger as the fight progresses. His momentum builds through successful grappling exchanges and control. If Chatman cannot finish early, Wint's stamina and relentless pressure could become a significant factor in the championship rounds.

Finish Risk

The risk of a finish in this fight is moderate. Terrance Chatman carries a significant early KO/TKO risk, especially in the first round, given his explosive power. Anthony Wint, while durable, has been stopped by strikes before. Wint's finishing threat is lower, primarily through submission, but he is more likely to win by decision. The potential for cuts and facial damage is present due to Chatman's power, which could lead to a doctor stoppage, adding a layer of volatility to the contest.

Data Stats
  • Terrance Chatman:
    • Significant Strikes Landed per Minute: 5.0
    • Significant Strike Accuracy: 44%
    • Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute: 3.8
    • Takedowns Landed per 15 Minutes: 0.4
    • Takedown Accuracy: 25%
    • Takedown Defense: 65%
    • Control Time Share: 25%
    • Submission Attempts per 15 Minutes: 0.2
  • Anthony Wint:
    • Significant Strikes Landed per Minute: 4.0
    • Significant Strike Accuracy: 40%
    • Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute: 3.5
    • Takedowns Landed per 15 Minutes: 2.8
    • Takedown Accuracy: 48%
    • Takedown Defense: 60%
    • Control Time Share: 45%
    • Submission Attempts per 15 Minutes: 0.7
Our Pick

Our analytical model suggests a competitive middleweight bout. Terrance Chatman's best path to victory is an early KO/TKO, leveraging his power. Anthony Wint's most probable outcome is a decision victory, grinding out rounds with his wrestling and control time. While Chatman has the higher KO/TKO probability, Wint's durability and grappling make him a tough opponent to finish. The fight is likely to go the distance, with Wint having a slight edge on the scorecards if he can consistently secure takedowns and maintain control.

Final Verdict

This middleweight bout presents a classic striker-versus-grappler dynamic. Chatman's powerful striking will be tested by Wint's durable, well-rounded game and effective wrestling. While Chatman has the power to end the fight early, Wint's ability to absorb damage and implement his grappling makes him a tough opponent. Wint's superior wrestling and control time give him a slight edge in a decision, but Chatman's knockout threat ensures a volatile and exciting contest.

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