Predicted Winner
Nursulton Ruziboev
53%
win probability
Fight Projection
Expected Rounds2.5
KO/TKO (Home)25%
KO/TKO (Away)20%
SUB (Home)20%
SUB (Away)2%
Decision (Home)18%
Decision (Away)35%
Over Rounds Line55%
Under Rounds Line45%
Fighter Stats
RuziboevPage
Striking
4.1Sig. Strikes / Min3.1
46%Strike Accuracy58%
3.1Absorbed / Min1.9
78%Aggression Index60%
Grappling
2.1Takedowns / 15min0.2
42%TD Accuracy20%
60%TD Defense75%
48%Control Time %22%
Fight Preview
An explosive Middleweight clash heads to the card on September 5, 2026, as power finisher Nursulton Ruziboev takes on elite movement striker Michael Page. This matchup offers a stark contrast between heavy grappling and power striking versus point-fighting accuracy and distance control. Pacing and control of center canvas will decide this high-stakes contest.
Matchup Overview
Expect a classic stylistic collision between Page's karate stance distance fighting and Ruziboev's aggressive wrestling and submission threats.
Style Analysis
Ruziboev uses forward pressure to force entries into bodylocks and takedown attempts. Page utilizes blitzes and evasive lateral footwork to score from long range while evading exchanges.
Tale of the Tape
Page holds a reach advantage and unique stance angle, whereas Ruziboev brings physical strength in clinch exchanges.
Striking Battle
Page excels in distance striking efficiency and minimal strikes absorbed, forcing Ruziboev to close distance under fire.
Grappling & Wrestling
Ruziboev exhibits a notable advantage in takedowns landed per 15m and submission threats, making ground control key.
Recent Form
Nursulton Ruziboev: W W W L WMichael Page: W L W W L
Key Insights
Page demonstrates high takedown defense percentage against elite wrestlers.Ruziboev maintains a high submission threat rate per 15 minutes.Distance strikes heavily favor Page in total volume accuracy.
Tactical Themes
Focus centers on level changes vs low hands counter-striking and cage boundary management.
Stamina & Momentum
Page preserves output across three rounds, whereas Ruziboev relies heavily on energetic early round entries.
Finish Risk
Finish risk is highest in round one during initial grappling entries and counter blitzes.
Data Stats
Nursulton Ruziboev: 4.10 sig strikes landed per minMichael Page: 3.15 sig strikes landed per min
Our Pick
The statistical model favors Page via Decision if distance is maintained, or Ruziboev via Submission if ground control is established.
Final Verdict
In summary, Page's ability to maintain range or Ruziboev's success in enforcing ground control will dictate victory.
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