Predicted Winner
Chelsea Chandler
35%
win probability
Fight Projection
Expected Rounds2.0
KO/TKO (Home)10%
KO/TKO (Away)35%
SUB (Home)40%
SUB (Away)5%
Decision (Home)30%
Decision (Away)10%
Draw100%
Over Rounds Line35%
Under Rounds Line65%
Fighter Stats
ChandlerCachoeira
Striking
3.1Sig. Strikes / Min4.5
54%Strike Accuracy42%
2.8Absorbed / Min6.1
6.1%Aggression Index9.2%
Grappling
2.1Takedowns / 15min0.2
48%TD Accuracy20%
68%TD Defense41%
62%Control Time %12%
1.2Sub Attempts / 15min0.1
65%Clutch Round Win %35%
Fight Preview
The bantamweight clash between Chelsea Chandler and Priscila Cachoeira on June 6, 2026, features a massive contrast in combat philosophies. Chandler, a disciple of the Diaz brothers' camp, relies on striking efficiency and a robust grappling foundation. Cachoeira, known as 'Pedrita', is a pure brawler who thrives in chaos and possesses genuine one-punch finishing threat. This matchup is a litmus test for Chandler's takedown defense and Cachoeira's ability to handle high-level control time. If Chandler can drag the fight into a clinch or onto the mat, her path to victory becomes clear. However, Cachoeira's aggression index makes her dangerous every second the fight remains on the feet. The stakes are high for both women as they aim to solidify their standing in the 135-pound division.
Matchup Overview
A classic striker vs grappler dynamic. Chandler will seek control time through wrestling, while Cachoeira wants a distance striking war.
Style Analysis
Chandler utilizes a wrestling-first approach with high volume on the ground. Cachoeira is a power-striker who ignores defensive movement in favor of landing heavy blows.
Tale of the Tape
Chandler has the reach and height advantage, which she will use to initiate the clinch. Cachoeira's compact frame is built for power pocket exchanges.
Striking Battle
Cachoeira lands with more power, but Chandler has higher striking accuracy. The clinch will be the primary transition zone for Chandler's attacks.
Grappling & Wrestling
Chandler's takedowns per 15 minutes is significantly higher. Cachoeira has struggled with takedown defense in past performances.
Recent Form
Chelsea Chandler: L W W W LPriscila Cachoeira: L L W W L
Key Insights
Chandler's control time share is her path to victory.Cachoeira's finish rate remains a major factor in the first round.Takedown accuracy for Chandler is nearly 50 percent.Cachoeira absorbs more significant strikes than she lands.
Tactical Themes
Strategic elements include Chandler's cage pressure and Cachoeira's leg-kick strategy to stop the shot.
Stamina & Momentum
Chandler has better stamina for a 15-minute grappling match. Cachoeira's momentum is highest in the opening frame.
Finish Risk
High early KO risk for Chandler; high late submission risk for Cachoeira.
Data Stats
Sig. Strikes Landed/Min: 3.1 vs 4.4Takedowns/15 Min: 2.1 vs 0.2Takedown Defense: 65% vs 40%Control Time Share: 55% vs 10%
Our Pick
The model predicts a Submission or Decision for Chandler. Cachoeira's only likely path is an early KO/TKO.
Final Verdict
Chandler's superior grappling control and tactical discipline should lead her to a victory, assuming she survives the initial power shots from Cachoeira.
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Control Time
1:52
Chandler
Control
0:23
Cachoeira
Significant Strikes
11Power Strikes7
25Total Strikes13
Strikes by Zone
22Head11
3Body1
0Legs1
Grappling
0Takedowns Landed1
0Takedown Attempts1
1Submission Att.0
1
Knockdowns
KD
0
Knockdowns