UpcomingWomen's Strawweight
Tina Black
Tina Black
vs
MA
Melissa Amaya
Ladbrokes
1
1.50
Ladbrokes
2
2.77
Predicted Winner
Melissa Amaya
32%
win probability
Fight Projection
Expected Rounds3.0
KO/TKO (Home)10%
KO/TKO (Away)10%
SUB (Home)5%
SUB (Away)15%
Decision (Home)35%
Decision (Away)44%
Draw100%
Over Rounds Line80%
Under Rounds Line20%
Fighter Stats
BlackAmaya
Striking
4.8Sig. Strikes / Min3.1
45%Strike Accuracy48%
3.9Absorbed / Min2.5
58%Aggression Index65%
Grappling
0.5Takedowns / 15min2.8
30%TD Accuracy45%
65%TD Defense60%
15%Control Time %45%
0.1Sub Attempts / 15min0.8
45%Clutch Round Win %55%
Fight Preview

An intriguing women's strawweight matchup features Brazilian striker Valesca Machado against the undefeated prospect Melissa Amaya. Both fighters aim to make a statement in the 115-pound division.

Matchup Overview

A competitive striking and grappling battle. Machado will look to keep the fight at distance, while Amaya aims to mix in takedowns and clinch control.

Style Analysis

Machado is a technical kickboxer who relies on movement and volume. Amaya is a well-rounded pressure fighter with strong grappling transitions.

Tale of the Tape
  • Machado: 5ft 3in, 64in reach, 30 years old, Orthodox
  • Amaya: 5ft 4in, 65in reach, 29 years old, Orthodox
Striking Battle

Machado lands 4.80 significant strikes per minute. Amaya relies on a lower volume but possesses strong clinch striking and control.

Grappling & Wrestling

Amaya averages 2.80 takedowns per 15 minutes. Machado's takedown defense will be tested, as she prefers to keep the fight standing.

Recent Form
  • Machado: W L W W L
  • Amaya: W W W W W
Key Insights
  • Machado lands 4.80 significant strikes per minute.
  • Amaya is undefeated in her professional career.
  • Machado has a 65% takedown defense rate.
  • Amaya averages 2.80 takedowns per 15 minutes.
Tactical Themes

Tactical themes include Machado's lateral movement and counter-striking, contrasted with Amaya's cage pressure and double-leg takedown attempts.

Stamina & Momentum

Both fighters possess excellent cardio, with most of their career fights going the full three-round distance.

Finish Risk

Low finish risk. Both competitors are durable, making a judges' decision the highly probable outcome for this matchup.

Data Stats
  • Machado Sig. Strikes: 4.80/min
  • Amaya Takedowns: 2.80/15m
  • Machado TD Defense: 65%
  • Amaya Sig. Strikes: 3.10/min
Our Pick

Amaya is favored to win via decision by utilizing her grappling and clinch control. Machado remains a strong threat to win a striking-heavy decision.

Final Verdict

Amaya's ability to mix grappling with striking should allow her to control the cage and secure a close decision victory.

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