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Rugby·Super Rugby AUS·Reds vs Waratahs

Reds vs Waratahs - Super Rugby AUS

Super Rugby AUS · 08:45
FT
R
Reds
19
vs
W
Waratahs
47

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Predicted Winner
Reds
58%
win probability
Match Projection
Expected Points48.0
Home Win58%
Away Win42%
Over Points Line52%
Under Points Line48%
Team Stats
RedsWaratahs
Match Info
Half Time0 — 14
Date19 Sep 2026 · 08:45
CompetitionSuper Rugby AUS
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81
Attack Rating
79
80Defense Rating78
3Linebreaks / Match3
84%Tackle Success83%
11Penalties Conceded12
Match Preview

The Reds host the Waratahs in a classic Australian rugby derby. This fierce rivalry always delivers high intensity and physical drama. Both teams are eager to assert dominance early in the season, making this clash crucial for momentum and local bragging rights.

Matchup Overview

A fast-paced, highly physical derby. Expect intense breakdown battles and rapid transition play from both sides.

Attack Preview

Reds utilize a powerful rolling maul and quick phase play. Waratahs rely on expansive backline shifts and offload chains.

Defense Preview

Reds employ a high-pressure blitz defense. Waratahs focus on breakdown turnovers, boasting a 83% tackle success rate.

Set Piece

Reds hold the advantage at the scrum. Waratahs boast a highly efficient 90% lineout success rate.

Territory & Kicking

Reds use contestable box kicks, while Waratahs prefer long, finding-touch kicks to shift pressure.

Recent Form
  • Reds: W, L, W, W, L
  • Waratahs: L, W, L, L, W
Head to Head

The home side has won four of the last five encounters in this tight rivalry.

Key Insights
  • Reds average 3.2 linebreaks per match.
  • Waratahs concede 12 penalties per game.
  • Reds tackle success is 84%.
  • Waratahs average 24 points per game.
Tactical Themes

A battle between the Reds' physical forward pack and the Waratahs' expansive, wide-running game.

Pressure Moments

Reds' home crowd support often boosts their discipline and execution during crucial final-quarter moments.

Data Stats
  • Reds Attack: 81
  • Waratahs Attack: 79
  • Reds Defense: 80
  • Waratahs Defense: 78
Our Pick

Reds are predicted to win a close encounter by 5 points at home.

Final Verdict

The Reds' superior scrum and home advantage should give them the edge in a thrilling derby.

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