Barry Hawkins takes on Lyu Haotian in a best-of-7 frame encounter. Hawkins's tactical experience faces Lyu's dangerous scoring potential.

A balanced matchup. Hawkins will look to control the table, while Lyu will seek opportunities to score heavily.

Hawkins is a reliable break builder, averaging 0.25 centuries. Lyu is highly capable, averaging 0.20 centuries but can be inconsistent.

Hawkins holds a clear advantage with an 86% safety success rate, compared to Lyu's 80% safety success.

• Hawkins: W, L, W, W, L
• Lyu: L, W, L, W, W

Hawkins has generally held the upper hand in their meetings, utilizing his superior tactical game to restrict Lyu.

• Hawkins safety success is 86%.
• Lyu safety success is 80%.
• Hawkins long pot success is 55%.
• Decider probability is 24%.

The match will center on tactical containment. Hawkins will try to starve Lyu of easy potting opportunities.

Hawkins's experience in high-pressure situations gives him the edge in tight, frame-winning visits.

• Hawkins Pot Success: 90%
• Lyu Pot Success: 88%
• Hawkins Safety: 86%
• Lyu Safety: 80%

Hawkins is the favorite with a 68% win probability, projected to win 4-2 in a competitive match.

Hawkins's superior safety play and tactical discipline should carry him to victory over Lyu.