Modena 2-1 Reggiana: Result, 1 May 2026

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Palermo	6	5	1	0	+7	16
2	Sudtirol	6	3	3	0	+6	12
3	Mantova	5	3	2	0	+5	11
4	Ascoli	6	3	2	1	+3	11
5	Avellino	6	3	1	2	+4	10
6	Modena	5	3	1	1	+4	10
7	Pisa	6	3	1	2	+3	10
8	Benevento	6	3	1	2	+3	10
9	Verona	5	2	1	2	+3	7
10	Padova	5	2	1	2	-1	7

Player	Min	G	Sh	On	Tkl
Cedric Gondo	90	1	1	1	2
Matteo Rover	90	0	1	-	1
Lorenzo Libutti ©	90	0	-	-	1
Simone Bonetti	84	0	-	-	2
Massimo Bertagnoli	83	0	-	-	1
Manolo Portanova	79	0	-	-	1
Danilo Quaranta	13	0	-	-	-

Final Result

Modena

2 : 1

[1-0]

Reggiana

13'F. ZampanoL. Zanimacchia
14'F. Zampano
56'G. AmbrosinoY. Massolin
57'G. Ambrosino
69'G. Ambrosino
76'S. Santoro

35'S. Bonetti
56'L. Belardinelli
65'F. VicariK. Bozhanaj
85'M. Portanova

53%Possession47%

2Shots on Target4

2Corners4

Yellow Cards

Red Cards

0

Match details

Substitutions

6'S. Santoro↔F. GerliModena
46'A. Tripaldelli↔S. BonettiReggiana
57'K. Bozhanaj↔N. GirmaReggiana
58'A. Novakovich↔L. BelardinelliReggiana
72'P. Mendes↔M. De LucaModena
72'A. Sersanti↔N. PyyhtiaModena
74'T. Reinhart↔L. LibuttiReggiana
83'M. Cotali↔F. ZampanoModena
83'S. Wiafe↔Y. MassolinModena
84'T. Fumagalli↔M. BertagnoliReggiana

Our Prediction

Analytical models point toward a Modena victory or a draw (78% combined probability). A 1-0 or 2-0 home win is the most likely scoreline given Reggiana's offensive struggles.

Top scorelines1-02-0

Match Facts

Competition: Serie B
Date: Fri 1 May
Kick-off: 14:00
Stadium: Stadio Alberto Braglia, Modena
Capacity: 21,151
Table Position: Modena 6

Match Preview

The Emilia-Romagna derby between Modena and Reggiana at the Stadio Alberto Braglia is a clash of divergent seasonal paths. Modena, currently 6th, is in a playoff position despite a recent 1-0 loss to Monza. Reggiana occupies 18th place and is fighting for survival following a 1-1 draw with Palermo. Statistical modeling strongly favors Modena with a 53% win probability. A critical tactical factor is Modena's defensive strength at home, conceding only 0.94 goals per match on average. Reggiana struggles offensively, averaging just 0.94 goals scored per match this season. However, Reggiana has historically been a thorn in Modena's side, winning 3 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings, including a 1-0 victory in October 2025.

A high-intensity derby where Modena's playoff ambitions meet Reggiana's relegation struggle. Expect a physical encounter with limited goal-scoring chances.

Modena has a 53% probability of winning at home.Reggiana has lost 18 times this season, the highest in this pairing.The probability of under 2.5 goals is 52%.Modena concedes an average of only 0.94 goals per match.

Modena is led by Fabio Abiuso, who has netted 11 goals and 5 assists, proving to be their most lethal offensive threat. Their defense is their foundation, allowing only 0.94 goals per match. Reggiana's attack is anemic, averaging 0.8 goals per match in their last five outings. Furthermore, Reggiana's defense is a significant liability, conceding 1.5 goals per match over the season and 1.6 in their most recent stretch. Modena's superior win record (14 wins) compared to Reggiana's (8 wins) reflects the technical gap between the two squads.

High-Efficiency Tactical Setup: Modena's 4-3-2-1 with Abiuso as the focal point. Defensive Vulnerability Insight: Reggiana's high concession rate (1.5 per game). High-Impact Substitution Patterns: Modena's tendency to tighten defense when leading, conceding under 1.0 goal/match.

Form and Head to Head

Modena

WDLWW

Reggiana

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Reggiana has won 3 times and Modena has won twice. Reggiana defeated Modena 1-0 in their most recent meeting on October 28, 2025.

Key Stats

Goals Scored: 1.31 vs 0.94Goals Conceded: 0.94 vs 1.50Win Percentage: 39% vs 22%

Cards and Corners

Expect 8-10 corners. Discipline is likely to be high due to the derby nature; both teams have high booking rates in physical encounters.

Verdict

Modena's defensive reliability (0.94 conceded/match) and Reggiana's attacking woes (0.94 scored/match) make a home win the logical verdict. Reggiana must rely on historical dominance to secure an upset.