Granada CF vs Almeria Lineups, 26 Apr 2026

Statistical simulations suggest a Draw (35% probability) is a likely outcome. The expected scoreline is 1-1, reflecting the defensive capabilities of both sides when properly organized under pressure.

• Granada wins 55% of their aerial duels in home fixtures.
• Almeria has kept a clean sheet in 35% of their away matches this season.
• Scoring often occurs between the 30th and 45th minute in this fixture.
• Granada's goal conversion rate currently stands at 12.5%.

Expect a physical match with a high number of tactical fouls. Corner counts are projected to be lower than league average, around 8.5 corners in total for the ninety minutes.

The Segunda Division encounter between Granada CF and Almeria at the Nuevo Los Carmenes features two sides with distinct tactical identities. Granada has utilized a high-press system that effectively disrupts the opponent's rhythm, often forcing turnovers in the middle third. Almeria, conversely, prefers a more patient approach, relying on tactical flexibility to adapt to their opponent's pressing triggers. Performance data highlights that Granada is particularly effective during the transition from defense to attack, where their pace on the wings becomes a primary threat. Almeria will likely attempt to lower the tempo, focusing on ball retention to mitigate the effects of the press. This analysis explores how these conflicting styles will impact the expected goal distribution and the overall strategic outcome for this April 26 fixture.

A tactically dense match where Granada's aggression meets Almeria's composed build-up. The atmosphere at the Nuevo Los Carmenes will play a significant role in dictating the opening tempo.

Granada's home form has been characterized by a high defensive line, which allows them to dominate territory but leaves them open to vertical through-balls. Their average of 13.1 shots per game reflects their offensive intent. Almeria boasts a reliable defensive core, ranking high in successful interceptions and clearances this season. However, their transition into the attacking third has been slow, resulting in fewer clear-cut chances against organized defenses. For Almeria, the key will be exploiting the space behind Granada's advancing full-backs during transition phases. Granada must maintain their intensity for the full ninety minutes, as their physical output often drops in the final quarter.

High-Efficiency Tactical Setup: Granada's aggressive 4-4-2 diamond creates central overloads to disrupt build-up. Defensive Vulnerability Insight: Almeria is susceptible to wide crosses during rapid transition phases. High-Impact Substitution Patterns: Granada often brings on a physical striker late to change the attacking dynamic.

Historical data shows a balanced record between these Andalusian rivals. Recent meetings have frequently seen a low-scoring trend, with under 2.5 goals being a common outcome.